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Lecco crestLecco
v
Juventus U23 crestJuventus U23

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 08 Nov, 13:30

Lecco v Juventus U23 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lecco hosts Juventus U23 in a Serie C - Girone A clash where Lecco's recent form and league position suggest a strong home advantage. Lecco sits 8th with 17 points, showing solid attacking output and defensive resilience, while Juventus U23 struggles in 17th place with 11 points. Lecco's ability to score frequently and maintain a tighter defense contrasts with Juventus U23's inconsistent performances, setting up a contest where Lecco aims to capitalize on home momentum and tactical discipline to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Lecco to Win

  • Lecco ranks 8th with 17 points, Juventus U23 17th with 11 points.
  • Lecco averages 2.8 goals scored per game, Juventus U23 only 1.0.
  • Lecco concedes fewer goals on average (1.0) than Juventus U23 (1.2).
  • Lecco has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.
  • Juventus U23 has a higher BTTS rate (80%) but lower scoring output overall.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Lecco to win, reflecting their superior form and home advantage. Lecco's higher goal-scoring rate and stronger defensive record underpin this . The of 1.9 offer positive value given the implied 52.6% chance, supported by Lecco's consistent ability to control matches and capitalize on scoring opportunities. No data limitations affect this view, making Lecco a solid pick based on current season performance and league standing.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Lecco Goals For per Game2.8
Strong positive
Lecco Goals Against per Game1.0
Positive
Juventus U23 Goals For per Game1.0
Negative
Value Edge67.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lecco's superior attacking form and home advantage make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their ability to score consistently and maintain a tighter defense than Juventus U23 provides a tactical and statistical edge that should translate into a positive result.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lecco's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive solidity positions them well to exploit Juventus U23's struggles, especially at home where they have shown greater control and scoring threat.”

Key Data Signals

Lecco to Win evidence

Lecco ranks 8th with 17 points, Juventus U23 17th with 11 points.

Lecco averages 2.8 goals scored per game, Juventus U23 only 1.0.

Lecco concedes fewer goals on average (1.0) than Juventus U23 (1.2).

Lecco has an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potency.

What To Watch In The Data

Lecco to Win notes

  • Over the last eight meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.38, suggesting a moderately open game.
  • Lecco's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches indicates a trend towards more attacking, higher-scoring encounters, which could influence the tempo and goal opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lecco2.8
Avg goals scored
Juventus U231
Lecco1
Avg goals conceded
Juventus U231.2
Lecco60%
BTTS rate
Juventus U2380%
Lecco80%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventus U2360%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Lecco's matches feature a high rate of over 2.5 goals (80%), highlighting their attacking intent and ability to break down defenses. Juventus U23 also has a high BTTS rate (80%), indicating open games with goals at both ends, which supports expectations of an active, goal-rich encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 67.6% for Lecco to Win sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lecco have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Juventus U23.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lecco

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
01 Nov 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi4-0
25 Oct 2026H Folgore Caratese2-2
16 Oct 2026A PRO Vercelli5-0
11 Oct 2026H Alcione1-1
04 Oct 2026H Union Brescia2-2

Juventus U23

DLWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
02 Nov 2026H PRO Vercelli1-1
25 Oct 2026A Trento1-2
19 Oct 2026H Renate2-1
13 Oct 2026H Lumezzane0-0
10 Oct 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo1-2
Market aligned with main pickLecco to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Lecco's recent form, accumulating 9 points compared to Juventus U23's 5, demonstrates better momentum and . Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline recently supports the likelihood of a home win in this contest.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Lecco Over 2.5
60%Juventus U23 Over 2.5
2.38H2H avg goals
Over the last eight meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.38, suggesting a moderately open game. Lecco's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches indicates a trend towards more attacking, higher-scoring encounters, which could influence the tempo and goal opportunities in this fixture.

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