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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Liverpool crestLiverpool

Premier League | Sun 08 Nov, 14:00

Crystal Palace v Liverpool Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 09:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash charged with tension and tactical intrigue. Palace have already beaten Liverpool three times this season, including a 3-0 win at Anfield, and arrive on an eight-match unbeaten run. Liverpool's recent defensive struggles, conceding 11 goals in six matches, contrast with Palace's remarkable scoring consistency in nine consecutive away games. Mohamed Salah's sharp form adds attacking threat for Liverpool, while Palace's structured back three and dynamic wing play pose a constant counter-attacking danger. This match promises a competitive, open contest with both sides eager to assert control amid rising stakes.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 62%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Liverpool conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, showing defensive vulnerability.
  • Crystal Palace have scored in nine consecutive away fixtures, highlighting attacking consistency.
  • Ismaila Sarr has netted seven goals in nine meetings against Liverpool, including three this season.
  • Liverpool's Mohamed Salah has scored in three consecutive league games, boosting Liverpool's scoring potential.
Price warning

Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 62% while the model sits nearer 43% (-18.4 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.38.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The Both Teams to Score pick reflects Liverpool's recent defensive fragility combined with Crystal Palace's strong away scoring record. Despite the market price being short at 4/6 with a 60% implied chance, the model estimates a 43.3% probability, indicating a price-sensitive selection. The football context supports this pick due to Liverpool's conceding pattern and Palace's attacking threat, especially from Ismaila Sarr. Reduced staking is advised until price drift or stronger late data emerges to improve value.

Liverpool Defensive Record11 goals conceded in last 6 matches
Strong positive
Crystal Palace Away ScoringScored in 9 consecutive away matches
Strong positive
Ismaila Sarr Impact7 goals in 9 games vs Liverpool
Positive
Market Price vs Model Chance43.3% model chance vs 61.7% implied (-18.4 pts)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams scoring is a logical expectation given Liverpool's defensive lapses and Palace's consistent away goal threat. Liverpool's attacking quality, led by Salah, ensures they will likely score, while Palace's tactical setup and recent success against Liverpool make their scoring highly probable. This bet captures the tactical balance and current form dynamics well.

Main risk

Correct Score A high-risk, high-reward market where you must predict the exact final scoreline.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Liverpool's defensive vulnerabilities combined with Palace's attacking resilience create a compelling scenario for both teams to find the net in this high-stakes Premier League encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Liverpool conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, showing defensive vulnerability.

Crystal Palace have scored in nine consecutive away fixtures, highlighting attacking consistency.

Ismaila Sarr has netted seven goals in nine meetings against Liverpool, including three this season.

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah has scored in three consecutive league games, boosting Liverpool's scoring potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, reflecting moderate scoring.
  • Both teams have shown tendencies for open games with transitions and counter-attacks, supporting over 2.5 goals as a reasonable trend.
  • Palace's ability to score away and Liverpool's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace0.6
Avg goals scored
Liverpool1
Crystal Palace2
Avg goals conceded
Liverpool1
Crystal Palace20%
BTTS rate
Liverpool20%
Crystal Palace40%
Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 62% · edge -18.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Liverpool's recent defensive struggles, conceding 11 goals in six matches, paired with Crystal Palace's impressive run of scoring in nine consecutive away games, strongly suggest both teams will score. Palace's ability to exploit transitions and Liverpool's attacking firepower, especially through Salah, create multiple goal-scoring routes for both sides.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubfull betting preview for Crystal Palace v Liverpoolcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 43% vs implied 62% · edge -18.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Liverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Liverpool Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
The 43.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (-18.4 pts). Crystal Palace show a 20% BTTS rate and Liverpool show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) This market requires both teams to score at least one goal each within 90 minutes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 6L
31 Oct 2026A Tottenham0-2
25 Oct 2026H Newcastle0-2
18 Oct 2026A Brighton0-5
11 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest3-1
20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0

Liverpool

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Arsenal0-1
25 Oct 2026H Brighton2-0
17 Oct 2026A Brentford2-1
11 Oct 2026H Manchester City0-3
20 Sep 2026A Bournemouth1-0
Best odds for this sectionLiverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Crystal Palace Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Liverpool Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Crystal Palace to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form data shows Liverpool scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 1, while Palace scores 0.6 and concedes 2 per game. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but only 20% BTTS rate recently, indicating that while goals are present, matches may not always see both sides score. However, Palace's consistent away scoring and Liverpool's defensive lapses suggest BTTS remains plausible here.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
40%Liverpool Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, reflecting moderate scoring. Both teams have shown tendencies for open games with transitions and counter-attacks, supporting over 2.5 goals as a reasonable trend. Palace's ability to score away and Liverpool's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

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