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Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Wed 13 May, 20:00

Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Tue 12 May 2026, 03:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Heart Of Midlothian face Falkirk in Premiership on Wed 13 May, 20:00. Heart Of Midlothian come in with 11 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Falkirk have 6 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Heart Of Midlothian show a 100% BTTS rate and Falkirk show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Heart Of Midlothian average 2 goals scored and Falkirk average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Heart Of Midlothian show a 100% BTTS rate and Falkirk show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Heart Of Midlothian show a 100% BTTS rate and Falkirk.Visible data support
Positive
Heart Of Midlothian average 2 goals scored and Falkirk average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Heart Of Midlothian show a 100% BTTS rate and Falkirk show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Heart Of Midlothian show a 100% BTTS rate and Falkirk show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Heart Of Midlothian average 2 goals scored and Falkirk average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Heart Of Midlothian6
Avg corners for
Falkirk3.8
Heart Of Midlothian9.4
Avg total corners
Falkirk9
Heart Of Midlothian1.8
Avg yellow cards
Falkirk2.6
Heart Of Midlothian15.2
Avg shots
Falkirk11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Heart Of Midlothian2
Avg goals scored
Falkirk1.8
Heart Of Midlothian1.2
Avg goals conceded
Falkirk2.8
Heart Of Midlothian100%
BTTS rate
Falkirk80%
Heart Of Midlothian80%
Over 2.5 goals
Falkirk80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Falkirk Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Heart Of Midlothian

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
09 May 2026A Motherwell1-1
04 May 2026H Rangers2-1
26 Apr 2026A Hibernian2-1
11 Apr 2026H Motherwell3-1
05 Apr 2026A Livingston2-2

Falkirk

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
09 May 2026H Hibernian1-3
02 May 2026H Motherwell1-0
25 Apr 2026A Celtic1-3
12 Apr 2026H Rangers3-6
04 Apr 2026A Motherwell3-2
Best odds for this sectionHeart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 49% · edge +29.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.74
Check odds @ 2.74
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Falkirk Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Heart Of Midlothian wins
1Draws
2Falkirk wins
21 Feb 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk1-0
17 Jan 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk1-1
13 Dec 2025Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian0-2
27 Sep 2025Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk3-0
17 Aug 2024Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian2-0
03 Jul 2021Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk4-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 52% · edge +23.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian38
Played
Falkirk38
Heart Of Midlothian1.8
Avg goals for
Falkirk1.3
Heart Of Midlothian0.9
Avg goals against
Falkirk1.6
Heart Of Midlothian17
Clean sheets
Falkirk9
Best odds for this sectionHeart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 49% · edge +29.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Falkirk to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Falkirk Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Heart Of Midlothian Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Heart Of Midlothian7033217530
6Falkirk463313713-3
2Heart Of Midlothian8038248633
6Falkirk493814717-12
Heart Of Midlothian sit in position 2, while Falkirk sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
80%Falkirk Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Heart Of Midlothian sit at 80% and Falkirk sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Fixture links

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Betting context

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