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Heart Of Midlothian crestHeart Of Midlothian
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Sun 08 Nov, 15:00

Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Heart Of Midlothian hosts Falkirk in a crucial Premiership clash at Tynecastle, where Hearts boast an unbeaten home streak spanning 20 league matches and six consecutive wins. Despite their control, Hearts have conceded in each of their last five league games, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities compounded by key absences including Craig Gordon. Falkirk arrive with , having scored in eight straight Premiership fixtures, posing a genuine threat with their consistent attacking output. The match promises a high-intensity battle with Hearts aiming to maintain title momentum while Falkirk seek to exploit defensive lapses and extend their scoring run.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Hearts unbeaten in last 20 home Premiership matches, winning six straight.
  • Hearts have conceded in five consecutive league games, indicating defensive fragility.
  • Falkirk have scored in eight consecutive Premiership matches, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Hearts average nearly 14 shots and 56 dangerous attacks per game at home, sustaining pressure.
  • Falkirk maintain a solid offensive profile with nearly 12 shots and over 53 dangerous attacks per game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Hearts' recent defensive lapses, conceding in five straight matches despite strong home form. Falkirk's impressive scoring streak of eight consecutive games underlines their ability to breach defenses. Hearts' high attacking volume combined with Falkirk's consistent goal threat creates a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. The model assigns a 66.7% chance to this outcome, reflecting the tactical and statistical balance favoring an open, goal-filled contest. No price warning is needed as the offer clear value relative to the .

Hearts Defensive RecordConceded in last 5 league matches
Strong positive
Falkirk Scoring StreakScored in 8 consecutive matches
Strong positive
Hearts Attacking Volume14.17 shots and 56 dangerous attacks per game
Positive
Falkirk Offensive OutputNearly 12 shots and 53 dangerous attacks per game
Positive
Model Probability vs Odds66.7% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+5 pts)
Strong positive
Main risk

Falkirk arrive with little external pressure but plenty of ability to disrupt the atmosphere.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Hearts' home control is clear, but their recent defensive vulnerabilities combined with Falkirk's scoring consistency make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle. The match's emotional intensity and attacking patterns point to goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Hearts unbeaten in last 20 home Premiership matches, winning six straight.

Hearts have conceded in five consecutive league games, indicating defensive fragility.

Falkirk have scored in eight consecutive Premiership matches, showing consistent attacking threat.

Hearts average nearly 14 shots and 56 dangerous attacks per game at home, sustaining pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting a pattern of open play and goal opportunities.
  • This trend suggests that this fixture is likely to produce multiple goals, consistent with the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Heart Of Midlothian2.2
Avg goals scored
Falkirk1.8
Heart Of Midlothian2
Avg goals conceded
Falkirk0.6
Heart Of Midlothian60%
BTTS rate
Falkirk40%
Heart Of Midlothian60%
Over 2.5 goals
Falkirk60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with Hearts averaging nearly two goals per game at home and Falkirk scoring in eight consecutive matches. Hearts' recent defensive lapses increase the chance of Falkirk scoring, while Hearts' sustained attacking pressure ensures they are likely to score as well. This dynamic supports a match with goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Falkirk Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Falkirk to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+5 pts). Heart Of Midlothian show a 60% BTTS rate and Falkirk show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Their high shot volume of 14.17 per game consistently translates into goals at Tynecastle.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Heart Of Midlothian

DWLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
28 Oct 2026H Rangers2-2
25 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0
18 Oct 2026A Celtic1-7
10 Oct 2026H ST Mirren5-0
19 Sep 2026A Kilmarnock1-1

Falkirk

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
01 Nov 2026H Celtic2-0
28 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0
24 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-0
17 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
10 Oct 2026H Dundee1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Falkirk Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Falkirk to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Heart Of Midlothian Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Heart Of Midlothian to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Recent form data shows Hearts scoring 2.2 goals per game but conceding 2.0, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities despite strong offensive output. Falkirk scores 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.6, indicating a more balanced defensive record. Both teams have a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals matches, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, goal-rich encounter consistent with the Both Teams to Score selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Heart Of Midlothian Over 2.5
60%Falkirk Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent matches show a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting a pattern of open play and goal opportunities. This trend suggests that this fixture is likely to produce multiple goals, consistent with the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets.

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