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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF

Allsvenskan | Sun 08 Nov, 15:30

IF Brommapojkarna v Mjallby AIF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF face off in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both teams have struggled for consistent attacking output. IF Brommapojkarna averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Mjallby AIF has a more defensive profile with 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded on average. Recent form shows both sides favoring cautious play, reflected in their low over 2.5 goals rates of 40% and 20% respectively. The fixture’s stakes and tactical setups suggest a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates: 40% for IF Brommapojkarna, 20% for Mjallby AIF.
  • Recent matches show IF Brommapojkarna scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6 on average.
  • Mjallby AIF’s defense is relatively solid, conceding just 1 goal per game on average.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 across 10 meetings, indicating low-scoring encounters.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance to Under 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' conservative scoring and defensive records. IF Brommapojkarna’s attack is moderate but offset by a leaky defense, while Mjallby AIF’s low scoring and disciplined defense reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The head-to-head average of 1.9 goals further confirms a pattern of tight matches. This combination of tactical caution and statistical trends underpins the strong in a low-scoring outcome.

Model Probability63.8% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance63.8% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Recent Team ScoringLow goals per game for both sides
Strong positive
Head-to-Head GoalsAverage 1.9 goals in last 10 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is likely to be a tight, low-scoring affair given IF Brommapojkarna’s moderate attack and Mjallby AIF’s solid defensive shape. The data shows both teams rarely exceed two goals in matches, and their head-to-head history supports a cautious game. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical analysis

“The statistical profile and tactical tendencies of both teams point towards a match where defensive solidity will dominate, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Recent matches show IF Brommapojkarna scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6 on average.

Mjallby AIF’s defense is relatively solid, conceding just 1 goal per game on average.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 across 10 meetings, indicating low-scoring encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating a consistent trend toward low-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that limits goal opportunities, supporting the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.8
Avg goals scored
Mjallby AIF0.6
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Avg goals conceded
Mjallby AIF1
IF Brommapojkarna20%
BTTS rate
Mjallby AIF40%
IF Brommapojkarna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Mjallby AIF20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams show low scoring rates and moderate BTTS percentages, with IF Brommapojkarna scoring 1.8 goals per game and Mjallby AIF only 0.6. The head-to-head average of 1.9 goals across 10 matches reinforces a trend toward fewer goals and less frequent both teams to score outcomes, supporting a low-scoring match scenario.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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IF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Mjallby AIF to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The 63.8% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Mjallby AIF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
01 Nov 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
28 Oct 2026H BK Hacken0-0
24 Oct 2026A Kalmar FF3-0
16 Oct 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2
10 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm6-5

Mjallby AIF

DWLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
02 Nov 2026H Kalmar FF0-0
29 Oct 2026A Orgryte IS2-1
25 Oct 2026H Hammarby FF0-2
18 Oct 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
10 Oct 2026H Degerfors IF1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 71% · edge +11.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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IF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Mjallby AIF to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent form data highlights IF Brommapojkarna’s 7 points with a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, while Mjallby AIF has 5 points and a 20% rate. Both teams’ recent matches have tended toward fewer goals, reflecting cautious tactical approaches and defensive focus, which supports the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
20%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating a consistent trend toward low-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that limits goal opportunities, supporting the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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