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Bournemouth crestBournemouth

Premier League | Sun 08 Nov, 14:00

Ipswich v Bournemouth Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 10:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ipswich and Bournemouth meet in a Premier League clash where Bournemouth hold a slight edge in recent form and league standing. Bournemouth have accumulated 12 points, just ahead of Ipswich's 11, reflecting a competitive but closely matched contest. Bournemouth's attack shows a bit more potency, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Ipswich's 1.4, while defensively Bournemouth concede fewer goals on average. The game promises tactical battles with Bournemouth's slightly superior offensive metrics and Ipswich's resilience at home, setting up an intriguing contest with Bournemouth favored to edge the win.

BT4Y best bet

Ipswich Asian Handicap +0.75

  • Bournemouth leads the league standings by one point and has better recent form with 9 points in last matches versus Ipswich's 5.
  • Bournemouth averages 1.6 goals per game, outscoring Ipswich's 1.4, indicating stronger attacking potential.
  • Ipswich concedes 1.6 goals per game, higher than Bournemouth's 1.2, suggesting defensive vulnerability.
  • Bournemouth averages more shots (13.6) and shots on target (4.2) per match than Ipswich, showing offensive pressure.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting an open game with scoring chances for Bournemouth.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Bournemouth to win with a 61.3% chance, reflecting their stronger offensive output and more solid defensive record compared to Ipswich. Bournemouth's higher shot volume and better goal conversion underpin this . The of 8.9% indicates the offer good value for backing Bournemouth. While Ipswich has shown resilience, Bournemouth's balance of attack and defense, combined with recent form and league position, supports the away win prediction. No data limitations affect this analysis, making the pick a solid choice based on current metrics.

Model Win Probability61.3%
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Odds57.5% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+3.4 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBournemouth 9 vs Ipswich 5
Positive
Goals For/AgainstBournemouth 1.6/1.2 vs Ipswich 1.4/1.6
Positive
Shot VolumeBournemouth 13.6 avg shots vs Ipswich 10.8
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bournemouth's superior attacking metrics and more consistent recent form make them the likely winners in this Premier League fixture. Ipswich's defensive frailties and lower goal output suggest Bournemouth can capitalize and secure the win. The data supports backing Bournemouth with given their balance of offense and defense.

Main risk

However, the +0.75 Asian Handicap provides a crucial mathematical buffer.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Bournemouth's combination of higher shot volume and better defensive solidity gives them a tactical edge over Ipswich, making them the smart pick for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Ipswich Asian Handicap +0.75 evidence

Bournemouth leads the league standings by one point and has better recent form with 9 points in last matches versus Ipswich's 5.

Bournemouth averages 1.6 goals per game, outscoring Ipswich's 1.4, indicating stronger attacking potential.

Ipswich concedes 1.6 goals per game, higher than Bournemouth's 1.2, suggesting defensive vulnerability.

Bournemouth averages more shots (13.6) and shots on target (4.2) per match than Ipswich, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Ipswich Asian Handicap +0.75 notes

  • In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture history.
  • This trend suggests a higher tempo game with chances for both teams, but Bournemouth's stronger defense may limit Ipswich's scoring opportunities, favoring an away win with goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIpswich Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 51% · edge -5.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Ipswich to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 57.5% for Ipswich Asian Handicap +0.75 sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). Defensive Records at Home and Away
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ipswich1.4
Avg goals scored
Bournemouth1.6
Ipswich1.6
Avg goals conceded
Bournemouth1.2
Ipswich80%
BTTS rate
Bournemouth20%
Ipswich60%
Over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The average goals in head-to-head matches stand at 3, indicating a tendency for open games with scoring from both sides. Ipswich's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Bournemouth's 20%, suggesting Ipswich often concedes and scores, while Bournemouth's games are less likely to see both teams scoring. This dynamic points to Bournemouth's potential to win with a clean or low-scoring margin.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ipswich

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Hull City2-2
23 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest1-1
17 Oct 2026A Manchester City2-3
10 Oct 2026H Fulham2-1
19 Sep 2026A Everton0-1

Bournemouth

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Leeds2-0
25 Oct 2026A Manchester United3-0
18 Oct 2026H Sunderland2-0
10 Oct 2026A Chelsea1-5
20 Sep 2026H Liverpool0-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 55% · edge -3.9 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Ipswich Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Ipswich to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Bournemouth's recent form shows 9 points gained compared to Ipswich's 5, highlighting better momentum and . Bournemouth's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity in recent matches supports their likelihood to secure a win. Ipswich's lower point tally and higher goals conceded per game indicate vulnerabilities that Bournemouth can exploit.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Ipswich Over 2.5
40%Bournemouth Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture history. This trend suggests a higher tempo game with chances for both teams, but Bournemouth's stronger defense may limit Ipswich's scoring opportunities, favoring an away win with goals.

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