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Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock

Premiership | Sun 08 Nov, 16:00

Celtic v Kilmarnock Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic visit Rugby Park to face Kilmarnock in a Premiership clash where the champions bring a strong recent record of nine wins in their last ten league matches and eight consecutive victories over Kilmarnock. Celtic's control in possession and attacking volume contrasts with Kilmarnock's potent but defensively vulnerable style, having conceded four goals in their opener despite scoring three. This fixture sets up a tactical battle between Celtic's control and Kilmarnock's sharp attacking threat led by Joe Hugill and Greg Kiltie, promising an open game with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Celtic have won eight straight league matches against Kilmarnock, showing clear control.
  • Both teams average 2.1 goals per game over their last ten league fixtures, indicating scoring potential.
  • Kilmarnock scored 3 goals from 5 shots on target in their last match despite only 44% possession.
  • Celtic average 59.8% possession and 13.3 attempts per game, sustaining pressure on opponents.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score positively with a 53.4% chance against a 40% implied probability, offering a 13.4% . Celtic's consistent attacking output and control, combined with Kilmarnock's efficient scoring despite defensive frailties, support both teams finding the net. The strong recent form of Celtic and Kilmarnock's offensive threat create a compelling case for this bet, though the sample size and match dynamics require monitoring.

Celtic recent form9 wins in last 10 league matches
Strong positive
Kilmarnock scoring efficiency2.1 goals per game from 11.8 attempts
Positive
Celtic possession and shot volume59.8% possession, 13.3 attempts per game
Strong positive
Kilmarnock defensive vulnerabilityConceded 4 goals in last match
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Celtic's superior possession and recent control over Kilmarnock suggest they will control the match and secure victory. However, Kilmarnock's attacking threat, highlighted by key players like Joe Hugill, means they are likely to score, making the combined bet of Celtic to win with both teams scoring a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Kilmarnock and Celtic both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Combined match outcome and scoring potential

“Celtic's control and attacking depth set the stage for a win, but Kilmarnock's ability to find the net despite defensive lapses ensures goals at both ends, making this a compelling combined bet.”

Key Data Signals

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Celtic have won eight straight league matches against Kilmarnock, showing clear control.

Both teams average 2.1 goals per game over their last ten league fixtures, indicating scoring potential.

Kilmarnock scored 3 goals from 5 shots on target in their last match despite only 44% possession.

Celtic average 59.8% possession and 13.3 attempts per game, sustaining pressure on opponents.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 4, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a propensity for over 2.5 goals, with Celtic at 60% and Kilmarnock at 100% over 2.5 rate, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic2.6
Avg goals scored
Kilmarnock1.4
Celtic1.2
Avg goals conceded
Kilmarnock2.6
Celtic60%
BTTS rate
Kilmarnock80%
Celtic60%
Over 2.5 goals
Kilmarnock100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have averaged 2.1 goals per game in their last ten league matches, underscoring a balanced scoring trend. Celtic's attacking efficiency and Kilmarnock's ability to score despite defensive issues suggest a match with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS component of the pick.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Premiership analysisCeltic v Kilmarnock predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCeltic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 91% · edge -12.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Celtic to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
The 48% for Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+8 pts). Celtic need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Celtic on 10 and Kilmarnock on 4. The 3-1 scoreline reflects Celtic’s consistent scoring ability against Kilmarnock’s defensive frailties, while Kilmarnock’s own attacking efficiency supports them scoring once in this likely.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
01 Nov 2026A Falkirk0-2
28 Oct 2026H Dundee Utd2-2
25 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1
18 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian7-1
11 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0

Kilmarnock

DLLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
31 Oct 2026H ST Johnstone2-2
28 Oct 2026A Dundee1-3
24 Oct 2026A Falkirk0-3
17 Oct 2026H Motherwell3-2
10 Oct 2026A Rangers1-3
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 95% · edge -9.2 pts
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
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Celtic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Celtic to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Celtic's recent form is impressive, with 10 points from their last matches and a strong defensive record conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Kilmarnock have scored 1.4 goals per game but concede 2.6, reflecting their attacking promise and defensive vulnerability, which aligns with the expectation of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Celtic Over 2.5
100%Kilmarnock Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 4, indicating a high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent matches show a propensity for over 2.5 goals, with Celtic at 60% and Kilmarnock at 100% over 2.5 rate, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring chances.

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