Football Stats Hub

Cray Wanderers crestCray Wanderers
v
Stockport County crestStockport County

FA Cup | Sun 08 Nov, 14:15

Cray Wanderers v Stockport County Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 04:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cray Wanderers host Stockport County in an FA Cup First Round clash that pits seventh-tier resilience against League One quality. Cray have impressed with a seven-match unbeaten cup run, showcasing attacking threat and home stubbornness despite their lower league standing. Stockport arrive with strong possession stats and shot volume but may rotate key attackers, balancing squad management with the desire to progress. The match promises tactical intrigue as Cray aim to frustrate and contain a technically superior opponent, while Stockport seek to impose control and break down the hosts' defensive resolve in a high-stakes cup atmosphere.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Cray Wanderers Asian Handicap +2.25

  • Cray Wanderers remain unbeaten in seven FA Cup matches, showing strong cup resilience.
  • Stockport County average 63% possession and 16.82 shots per match, indicating attacking control.
  • The +2.25 Asian Handicap protects Cray against a heavy defeat, offering value despite Stockport's quality.
  • Stockport may rotate key attackers, potentially limiting their attacking rhythm and goal output.
Price warning

Cray Wanderers Asian Handicap +2.25 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 71% while the model sits nearer 55% (-16.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 3.4.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model sees Cray Wanderers' unbeaten FA Cup run and home resilience as key factors supporting the +2.25 handicap despite the 111-league-place gap. Stockport's rotation and the hosts' ability to frustrate stronger teams create a realistic buffer against a heavy defeat. However, the current price is short with an implied chance of 71.4% versus a of 54.6%, indicating a negative . Reduced staking or waiting for price improvement is advised. Limited away data for Stockport adds some uncertainty, making team news and line-ups important.

Cray Wanderers FA Cup form7-match unbeaten run
Strong positive
Stockport possession and shots63% possession, 16.82 shots per match
Positive
Price vs model chance54.6% model chance vs 71.4% implied (-16.8 pts)
Negative
Stockport squad rotationLikely rotation of key attackers
Positive
Data qualityLimited away data for Stockport
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The +2.25 handicap offers a sensible compromise reflecting Cray Wanderers' stubborn cup form and Stockport County's superior quality. Cray's home resilience and unbeaten run suggest they can avoid a heavy loss, while Stockport's rotation may limit their attacking fluency. This bet balances tactical dynamics with form and squad considerations, making it a pragmatic choice for this FA Cup tie.

Main risk

However, Jimmy McNulty is expected to rotate his starting XI, potentially resting key attacking players like Jack Diamond and Kyle Wootton.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form balance

“Cray Wanderers' remarkable cup resilience combined with Stockport's rotation plans creates a nuanced contest where the +2.25 handicap provides a realistic safety net for the hosts against a technically superior opponent.”

Key Data Signals

Cray Wanderers Asian Handicap +2.25 evidence

Cray Wanderers remain unbeaten in seven FA Cup matches, showing strong cup resilience.

Stockport County average 63% possession and 16.82 shots per match, indicating attacking control.

The +2.25 Asian Handicap protects Cray against a heavy defeat, offering value despite Stockport's quality.

Stockport may rotate key attackers, potentially limiting their attacking rhythm and goal output.

What To Watch In The Data

Cray Wanderers Asian Handicap +2.25 notes

  • Recent FA Cup trends show Cray's seven-match unbeaten run and Stockport's consistent scoring in 16 consecutive cup games.
  • Over the last six away matches, Stockport conceded only twice, suggesting defensive solidity.
  • The trend for over 2.5 goals is mixed due to rotation and tactical caution, indicating a moderate tempo with potential for controlled scoring rather than a high-scoring blowout.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cray Wanderers

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 0L
20 Oct 2026H Bedford Town2-2
17 Oct 2026A Bedford Town0-0
03 Oct 2026H Chippenham Town3-0
22 Sep 2026A Maidstone Utd2-0
19 Sep 2026H Maidstone Utd1-1

Stockport County

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Stockport County yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Cray Wanderers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 13%
13
Check odds @ 13
Cray Wanderers have earned 9 points recently, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 per match, reflecting solid recent form and defensive improvement. Stockport's form is strong but data is limited, with rotation likely impacting cohesion. Cray's recent home draws and wins in cup matches demonstrate their ability to frustrate opponents, supporting in the handicap selection despite the quality gap.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more FA Cup analysisfull betting preview for Cray Wanderers v Stockport Countycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cray Wanderers1.6
Avg goals scored
Stockport County-
Cray Wanderers0.6
Avg goals conceded
Stockport County-
Cray Wanderers40%
BTTS rate
Stockport County-
Cray Wanderers40%
Over 2.5 goals
Stockport County-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 24%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams to score is unlikely given Stockport's strong defensive record with three clean sheets in six away matches and Cray's defensive vulnerability. Cray's average 1.89 goals per game and Stockport's 2.06 goals per game suggest scoring potential, but the tactical setup and rotation may limit goal volume, supporting an under 3.5 goals and BTTS No scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCray Wanderers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 13% vs implied 8% · edge +5.2 pts
13
Check odds @ 13
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 54.6% for Cray Wanderers Asian Handicap +2.25 sits against roughly 71.4% implied by the current price (-16.8 pts). Stockport's scoring rate and Cray's defensive record suggest multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cray Wanderers Over 2.5
-Stockport County Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent FA Cup trends show Cray's seven-match unbeaten run and Stockport's consistent scoring in 16 consecutive cup games. Over the last six away matches, Stockport conceded only twice, suggesting defensive solidity. The trend for over 2.5 goals is mixed due to rotation and tactical caution, indicating a moderate tempo with potential for controlled scoring rather than a high-scoring blowout.

Loading deeper match data…