Football Stats Hub

Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Chelsea crestChelsea

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Sunderland v Chelsea Stats

Data last updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026, 21:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Chelsea in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Sunderland are exceptionally strong at the Stadium of Light, scoring in five of their last six home matches.

BT4Y best bet

Sunderland Win

  • At 6/1, Sunderland Win implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top.
  • Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Chelsea.
  • Chelsea have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sunderland sit 7 in the table, while Chelsea sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Sunderland Win sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Chelsea. Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sunderland Win is the preferred angle because chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top scorer Joao Pedro. Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Chelsea. The result brought relief, but not necessarily .

Main risk

The result brought relief, but not necessarily .

Key Data Signals

Sunderland Win evidence

Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite.

Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Chelsea.

Chelsea have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sunderland sit 7 in the table, while Chelsea sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sunderland1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Chelsea0.8
    Sunderland2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Chelsea1.8
    Sunderland60%
    BTTS rate
    Chelsea60%
    Sunderland60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chelsea60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSunderland to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.3 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Sunderland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Sunderland to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Premier League hubfull betting preview for Sunderland v Chelseacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sunderland3.8
    Avg corners for
    Chelsea5.4
    Sunderland9
    Avg total corners
    Chelsea8.8
    Sunderland1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Chelsea2.6
    Sunderland11.2
    Avg shots
    Chelsea12.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 57% · edge +9.5 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sunderland

    WDDLL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    17 May 2026A Everton3-1
    09 May 2026H Manchester United0-0
    02 May 2026A Wolves1-1
    24 Apr 2026H Nottingham Forest0-5
    19 Apr 2026A Aston Villa3-4

    Chelsea

    WDLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 7L
    19 May 2026H Tottenham2-1
    09 May 2026A Liverpool1-1
    04 May 2026H Nottingham Forest1-3
    21 Apr 2026A Brighton0-3
    18 Apr 2026H Manchester United0-1
    Market aligned with main pickSunderland to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.3 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.79
    Check odds @ 1.79
    Sunderland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Sunderland wins
    1Draws
    5Chelsea wins
    25 Oct 2025Chelsea v Sunderland1-2
    21 May 2017Chelsea v Sunderland5-1
    14 Dec 2016Sunderland v Chelsea0-1
    07 May 2016Sunderland v Chelsea3-2
    19 Dec 2015Chelsea v Sunderland3-1
    24 May 2015Chelsea v Sunderland3-1
    Market aligned with main pickSunderland to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.3 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sunderland to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Sunderland38
    Played
    Chelsea38
    Sunderland1.1
    Avg goals for
    Chelsea1.5
    Sunderland1.3
    Avg goals against
    Chelsea1.4
    Sunderland11
    Clean sheets
    Chelsea9
    Market aligned with main pickSunderland to WinBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 29% · edge +20.3 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Sunderland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports Sunderland to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Sunderland5438141212-6
    10Chelsea52381410146
    Sunderland sit in position 7, while Chelsea sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Sunderland Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Sunderland Over 2.5
    60%Chelsea Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 60% and Chelsea sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Sunderland v Chelsea prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Premier League hubPremier League hubfull betting preview for Sunderland v Chelseacorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre