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Sunderland crestSunderland
v
Chelsea crestChelsea

Premier League | Sun 08 Nov, 14:00

Sunderland v Chelsea Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 08:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sunderland face Chelsea in Premier League on Sun 08 Nov, 14:00. Sunderland are exceptionally strong at the Stadium of Light, scoring in five of their last six home matches.

BT4Y best bet

Sunderland Win

  • Sunderland Win is rated around 27% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top.
  • Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sunderland.
  • Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sunderland sit 17 in the table, while Chelsea sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Sunderland Win around 27% on the latest available numbers. Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sunderland. Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top.

Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sunderland Win is the preferred angle because chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite attacking weapon in the returning top scorer Joao Pedro. Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sunderland. The result brought relief, but not necessarily .

Main risk

The result brought relief, but not necessarily .

Key Data Signals

Sunderland Win evidence

Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities under Callum McFarlane, conceding four against Aston Villa recently, while boasting an elite.

Chelsea have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Sunderland.

Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Sunderland Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sunderland sit 17 in the table, while Chelsea sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sunderland Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sunderland1
    Avg goals scored
    Chelsea2.4
    Sunderland2
    Avg goals conceded
    Chelsea2.2
    Sunderland40%
    BTTS rate
    Chelsea80%
    Sunderland20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chelsea100%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sunderland

    LLLDW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 4L
    10 Oct 2026H Brighton0-2
    20 Sep 2026A Manchester City3-5
    12 Sep 2026H Arsenal0-2
    05 Sep 2026A Brentford1-1
    30 Aug 2026H Fulham1-0

    Chelsea

    WLDLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 2L
    10 Oct 2026H Bournemouth5-1
    18 Sep 2026A Brentford0-3
    12 Sep 2026H Hull City2-2
    06 Sep 2026A Arsenal1-2
    30 Aug 2026H Brighton4-3

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Sunderland Over 2.5
    100%Chelsea Over 2.5
    3.2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sunderland sit at 20% and Chelsea sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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