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Girona crestGirona
v
Almeria crestAlmeria

Segunda División | Sun 08 Nov, 15:15

Girona v Almeria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Girona hosts Almeria in a Segunda División clash where both teams bring contrasting attacking styles. Girona ranks 7th with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Almeria sits 2nd, boasting a potent attack averaging 2.4 goals per match. Almeria's aggressive offensive approach and Girona's tactical discipline set the stage for a contest with frequent wide play and set-piece opportunities, likely generating numerous corners. Both sides' recent form shows Almeria's higher scoring tempo and Girona's resilience, suggesting a dynamic encounter with sustained pressure and territorial battles on the flanks.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Almeria averages 6 corners per game, Girona 3.67, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.
  • Recent form shows both teams engage in wide attacks and set-piece situations increasing corner chances.
  • Match tempo and attacking intent from Almeria suggest sustained pressure in the final third.
  • Girona's defensive style often concedes corners under pressure, complementing Almeria's offensive corner generation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 73.8% chance for Over 8.5 Corners, reflecting the combined corner averages of Girona and Almeria (3.67 and 6 respectively). Almeria's attacking style and Girona's defensive pressure contribute to frequent corner situations. The at 1.67 offer positive value with a 13.9% edge, supported by both teams' recent corner statistics and tactical tendencies favoring wide play and set-piece deliveries. This match's corner profile aligns well with the model's , making Over 8.5 Corners a compelling selection.

Combined corner average~9.67 per game
Strong positive
Almeria's attacking pressure6 corners per game
Strong positive
Girona's defensive corner concessions3.67 corners per game
Positive
Market odds vs model chance68.3% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+8.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent corner opportunities as Almeria's attacking style and Girona's defensive resilience combine to create sustained pressure on the flanks. The corner count is likely to exceed 8.5 due to both teams' tendencies to generate and concede corners through wide attacks and set-piece situations.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“This fixture's corner profile is shaped by Almeria's aggressive wing play and Girona's defensive pressure, making Over 8.5 Corners a logical expectation given their combined averages and tactical approaches.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Almeria averages 6 corners per game, Girona 3.67, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.

Recent form shows both teams engage in wide attacks and set-piece situations increasing corner chances.

Match tempo and attacking intent from Almeria suggest sustained pressure in the final third.

Girona's defensive style often concedes corners under pressure, complementing Almeria's offensive corner generation.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating open play and attacking intent.
  • While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions seen in these matches often translate into increased wide play and set-piece situations, supporting a higher corner count.
  • The trend suggests a lively match with multiple attacking phases.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Girona1.6
Avg goals scored
Almeria2.4
Girona0.6
Avg goals conceded
Almeria1.2
Girona40%
BTTS rate
Almeria80%
Girona20%
Over 2.5 goals
Almeria80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
While the focus is on corners, goal trends show Almeria's high scoring rate (2.4 goals per game) and Girona's strong defense (0.6 goals conceded per game). Both teams' attacking intent and defensive resilience suggest a balanced game with potential for set-piece situations leading to corners. The BTTS rates differ, but the corner market benefits from the attacking pressure regardless of goal outcomes.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Almeria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Almeria to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Girona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
The 68.3% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+8.4 pts). Almeria lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Girona lower at 3.6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Girona

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
31 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad II0-1
24 Oct 2026H Celta de Vigo II5-1
18 Oct 2026H FC Andorra2-0
12 Oct 2026A Tenerife1-1
04 Oct 2026H Mallorca0-0

Almeria

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
31 Oct 2026A Eibar1-1
24 Oct 2026H Oviedo2-2
17 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad II4-2
11 Oct 2026H Leganes3-0
03 Oct 2026H Burgos2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Almeria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Almeria to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Girona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Girona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form data shows Almeria's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) and BTTS rate (80%), indicating aggressive attacking play that often forces defensive corners. Girona's lower over 2.5 rate (20%) but decent BTTS rate (40%) suggests a more cautious approach but still involvement in corner-generating scenarios. Both teams' recent corner averages support the expectation of exceeding 8.5 corners in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Girona Over 2.5
80%Almeria Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 2.8, indicating open play and attacking intent. While this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions seen in these matches often translate into increased wide play and set-piece situations, supporting a higher corner count. The trend suggests a lively match with multiple attacking phases.

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