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Cambuur crestCambuur
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PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie | Sun 08 Nov, 15:45

Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 04:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cambuur hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where Cambuur's recent home resilience contrasts with PSV's high league standing and attacking prowess. Cambuur has shown defensive solidity, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while PSV, third in the table, boasts a potent attack but has been vulnerable defensively. Both sides have similar goal-scoring rates and over 2.5 goals occurrence, suggesting a balanced contest with tactical discipline from Cambuur and offensive intent from PSV. The match carries importance for Cambuur to consolidate mid-table status and for PSV to maintain pressure near the top.

BT4Y best bet

Cambuur or Draw

  • Cambuur concedes only 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive strength at home.
  • PSV ranks 3rd with a strong attack but concedes 1.2 goals per game, indicating some defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking opportunities.
  • Cambuur has earned 11 points recently, showing good form to avoid defeat.
  • PSV averages more shots per game (16.2) but Cambuur's defensive discipline could limit chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Cambuur or Draw with an 86% chance, reflecting Cambuur's solid defensive record and recent form. PSV's vulnerability at the back and Cambuur's ability to limit goals against them underpin this . The price at 2.75 offers positive value given the implied chance is only 36.4%. The model's 78% is supported by balanced attacking stats but a clear defensive edge for Cambuur. No data limitations affect this view, making this a well-supported selection for cautious backing.

Cambuur Defensive Strength0.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
PSV Defensive Vulnerability1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Recent Form PointsCambuur 11, PSV 7
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams 60%
Neutral
Market Price31% model chance vs 16% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cambuur's disciplined defensive approach and recent form make avoiding defeat a realistic outcome against PSV, who have shown some defensive frailty despite their attacking firepower. The data supports a cautious stance favoring Cambuur or Draw, reflecting tactical solidity and home advantage as key factors.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and form-based rationale

“Cambuur's defensive resilience and recent momentum create a solid foundation to challenge PSV's attack, making the double chance a sensible and data-backed choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Cambuur or Draw evidence

Cambuur concedes only 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive strength at home.

PSV ranks 3rd with a strong attack but concedes 1.2 goals per game, indicating some defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking opportunities.

Cambuur has earned 11 points recently, showing good form to avoid defeat.

What To Watch In The Data

Cambuur or Draw notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.2 goals, indicating high-scoring encounters historically.
  • Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests an open tempo with attacking intent.
  • This trend points to a match where goals are possible but balanced by Cambuur's defensive solidity, potentially resulting in a competitive and dynamic game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cambuur2.8
Avg goals scored
PSV Eindhoven2.6
Cambuur0.8
Avg goals conceded
PSV Eindhoven1.2
Cambuur60%
BTTS rate
PSV Eindhoven60%
Cambuur60%
Over 2.5 goals
PSV Eindhoven60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating attacking potential. However, Cambuur's low goals conceded average (0.8) contrasts with PSV's higher concession rate (1.2), suggesting a match that could see moments of attacking bursts but also defensive containment. BTTS is likely given both sides' scoring records, but Cambuur's defensive discipline may limit PSV's chances.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Cambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 31% for Cambuur or Draw sits against roughly 16% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cambuur

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026H GO Ahead Eagles4-0
24 Oct 2026A Willem II6-1
18 Oct 2026H AZ Alkmaar2-2
11 Oct 2026A PEC Zwolle1-0
19 Sep 2026A ADO Den Haag1-1

PSV Eindhoven

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
31 Oct 2026H Willem II7-0
25 Oct 2026H Feyenoord1-1
17 Oct 2026A ADO Den Haag1-2
09 Oct 2026H Heerenveen2-0
20 Sep 2026A Twente2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Cambuur to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
PSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cambuur's recent form is strong with 11 points gained, reflecting improved defensive stability and effective game management. PSV's 7 points in recent matches show some inconsistency, particularly defensively. This form data supports the likelihood of Cambuur avoiding defeat, as they have demonstrated resilience and the ability to frustrate opponents at home.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Cambuur Over 2.5
60%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.2 goals, indicating high-scoring encounters historically. Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests an open tempo with attacking intent. This trend points to a match where goals are possible but balanced by Cambuur's defensive solidity, potentially resulting in a competitive and dynamic game.

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