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Savoia crestSavoia
v
Potenza crestPotenza

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 08 Nov, 13:30

Savoia v Potenza Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Potenza arrives in strong form at the top of Serie C - Girone C, boasting 29 points and a commanding first-place position. Their recent performances highlight a potent attack averaging 3 goals per game, contrasting with Savoia's struggles near the relegation zone with just 12 points. Potenza's offensive firepower and consistent results set a clear tactical challenge for Savoia, who have managed only 0.8 goals per match and face defensive vulnerabilities. The away side's momentum and quality make them clear favorites in this fixture, with Savoia needing a significant tactical response to counter Potenza's control.

BT4Y best bet

Potenza to Win

  • Potenza leads the league with 29 points, showing strong overall form.
  • Potenza averages 3 goals per game, indicating high attacking efficiency.
  • Savoia has scored only 0.8 goals per match, struggling offensively.
  • Potenza's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting open play.
  • Savoia concedes 1.4 goals per game, highlighting defensive issues.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for Potenza to win, reflecting their dominant league position and superior attacking output. Potenza's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and consistent scoring underline their offensive threat, while Savoia's lower goal production and defensive frailties increase the likelihood of an away victory. The at 1.91 offer positive value given the 52.4% implied chance, making Potenza to Win a strong selection based on form and statistical trends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

League PositionPotenza 1st vs Savoia 18th
Strong positive
Goal ScoringPotenza 3.0 vs Savoia 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive RecordSavoia concedes 1.4 goals per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RatePotenza 100%, Savoia 40%
Positive
Odds Value Edge67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Potenza's commanding league lead and prolific scoring record make them the clear tactical and statistical favorite in this clash. Their ability to consistently find the net contrasts sharply with Savoia's offensive struggles, suggesting Potenza will control the match tempo and likely secure victory. This pick aligns well with both form and attacking control.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Potenza to Win

“Potenza's clinical attack and top-table status create a strong foundation for victory here, especially against a Savoia side that has struggled to score consistently. Their momentum and goal threat should prove decisive.”

Key Data Signals

Potenza to Win evidence

Potenza leads the league with 29 points, showing strong overall form.

Potenza averages 3 goals per game, indicating high attacking efficiency.

Savoia has scored only 0.8 goals per match, struggling offensively.

Potenza's recent matches have all exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Potenza to Win notes

  • Over the recent matches, Potenza has maintained a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a high-tempo, attacking style that often leads to open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend supports expectations of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Savoia0.8
Avg goals scored
Potenza3
Savoia1.4
Avg goals conceded
Potenza1.6
Savoia60%
BTTS rate
Potenza100%
Savoia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Potenza100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Potenza's matches have consistently produced goals, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and both teams scoring in all recent games. Savoia's 60% BTTS rate indicates they can contribute offensively, supporting an expectation of an open game with multiple goals.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPotenza to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Potenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The 67.4% for Potenza to Win sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Potenza have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Savoia.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Savoia

DDLWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
01 Nov 2026A Salernitana1-1
24 Oct 2026H Cosenza1-1
18 Oct 2026A Audace Cerignola0-4
10 Oct 2026H Inter U232-1
03 Oct 2026A SS Monopoli0-0

Potenza

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
01 Nov 2026H Crotone4-2
23 Oct 2026A Team Altamura2-2
17 Oct 2026H Catania2-1
11 Oct 2026A Foggia3-1
04 Oct 2026H AZ Picerno4-2
Market aligned with main pickPotenza to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Potenza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Potenza's recent form is impressive, accumulating 13 points with an average of 3 goals scored per game, indicating strong momentum. Conversely, Savoia's 6 points and lower scoring rate reflect ongoing struggles, reinforcing Potenza's advantage heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Savoia Over 2.5
100%Potenza Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent matches, Potenza has maintained a 100% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting a high-tempo, attacking style that often leads to open, goal-rich encounters. This trend supports expectations of multiple goals in this fixture.

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