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Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 03:00

Peru v Spain Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 11:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spain approach this friendly against Peru as a final World Cup warm-up, boasting an unbeaten streak of nine matches and a strong defensive record with three consecutive clean sheets on the road. Peru, missing key attackers Joao Grimaldo and Alex Valera, face a tough challenge breaking down Spain's elite defense. While Peru have shown resilience and recent goal-scoring form, Spain's technical superiority and tactical control suggest a disciplined, efficient performance aiming to maintain their defensive solidity and secure a comfortable win without conceding.

BT4Y best bet

Spain to Win & BTTS No

  • Spain are unbeaten in nine matches with six wins and three draws, showing strong form.
  • Spain have kept three consecutive away clean sheets, highlighting defensive stability.
  • Peru miss primary attacking options Joao Grimaldo and Alex Valera, weakening their offensive threat.
  • Spain have scored 17 goals in their last five away matches, demonstrating potent attack.
  • Peru have scored in most recent matches but face a tough defensive test against Spain.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model values Spain's strong defensive record and unbeaten run, combined with Peru's injury-depleted attack, as key factors supporting a Spain win with no goals conceded. Spain's recent away matches show high scoring efficiency paired with defensive consistency, making a clean sheet plausible. The 3.3 offer a slight positive edge over the model's 32% chance estimate, indicating reasonable value. No data limitations affect in this selection.

Spain's unbeaten run9 matches unbeaten
Strong positive
Spain's away defensive record3 consecutive clean sheets
Strong positive
Peru's missing attackersJoao Grimaldo and Alex Valera injured
Strong positive
Spain's away scoring17 goals in last 5 away matches
Positive
Model chance vs odds32% chance vs 30.3% implied odds
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Spain's tactical discipline and defensive solidity underpin this selection, as their unbeaten run and recent clean sheets on the road demonstrate control and efficiency. Peru's injury-hit attack limits their ability to breach Spain's defense, making a Spain win without conceding a realistic outcome in this friendly.

Main risk

Friendly matches often feature extensive second-half substitutions, which can disrupt defensive cohesion and lead to unexpected goals or transitions late in the game.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · defensive control and tactical superiority

“Spain's ability to combine possession control with defensive resilience makes them strong favorites to secure a clean sheet against an injury-hit Peru side struggling for attacking options.”

Key Data Signals

Spain to Win & BTTS No evidence

Spain are unbeaten in nine matches with six wins and three draws, showing strong form.

Spain have kept three consecutive away clean sheets, highlighting defensive stability.

Peru miss primary attacking options Joao Grimaldo and Alex Valera, weakening their offensive threat.

Spain have scored 17 goals in their last five away matches, demonstrating potent attack.

What To Watch In The Data

Spain to Win & BTTS No notes

  • Over the last five matches, Spain have a lower Over 2.5 Goals rate (33%) compared to Peru's 67%, reflecting Spain's tendency towards controlled, lower-scoring games.
  • The trend suggests a match with limited goal-scoring chances, consistent with Spain's defensive approach and Peru's challenges in attack, supporting a low-scoring outcome in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Peru4.67
Avg corners for
Spain7
Peru10.33
Avg total corners
Spain8.33
Peru2.67
Avg yellow cards
Spain0.67
Peru8.33
Avg shots
Spain17.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge -0.1 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3
Check odds @ 3
Spain average 7 corners and 17.33 shots per match, indicating territorial control and sustained pressure. Peru average fewer corners and shots, reflecting a more defensive posture. Spain's low yellow card average (0.67) suggests disciplined play, while Peru's higher card count (2.67) indicates a more physical approach. This dynamic supports Spain controlling the game with fewer fouls and more attacking opportunities.

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Useful next reads

more Friendlies analysisfull betting preview for Peru v Spaincorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Peru1.33
Avg goals scored
Spain1.33
Peru1.67
Avg goals conceded
Spain0.33
Peru67%
BTTS rate
Spain33%
Peru67%
Over 2.5 goals
Spain33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 22% · edge +39 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
The BTTS No and Under 3.5 Goals context aligns with Spain's recent defensive performances, including three straight clean sheets away. Peru's injury-depleted attack reduces their scoring threat, while Spain's efficient finishing supports a low-scoring match. Peru's recent matches show some goals, but against Spain's compact defense, the likelihood of both teams scoring is low, favoring a clean sheet outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSpain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 91% · edge -29.6 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
The of 3.3 for Spain to Win & BTTS No reflect a slight positive value compared to the model's 32% win probability. Spain's unbeaten streak and defensive strength justify this price, though the market remains sensitive to Peru's potential to score on transitions. The price is attractive given Spain's recent road form and Peru's attacking absences, making this a well-priced defensive bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Peru

WDL
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
06 Jun 2026A Haiti2-1
31 Mar 2026H Honduras2-2
28 Mar 2026A Senegal0-2

Spain

DDW
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
04 Jun 2026H Iraq1-1
31 Mar 2026H Egypt0-0
27 Mar 2026H Serbia3-0
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 79% vs implied 97% · edge -18.5 pts
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
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Spain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Spain's recent form is strong with six wins and three draws in their last nine matches, including dominant away performances with multiple clean sheets. Peru's form is mixed with two wins, two draws, and two losses recently, though they have shown resilience by scoring in most games. This contrast highlights Spain's momentum and defensive reliability versus Peru's inconsistency and attacking challenges.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Peru wins
0Draws
0Spain wins
Market aligned with main pickSpain to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 86% · edge -33.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
No recent head-to-head matches exist between Peru and Spain, limiting direct historical insights. However, Spain's consistent unbeaten run and defensive records in recent fixtures provide stronger indicators for this match than the absence of prior meetings.
Season team stats

Friendlies

Peru4
Played
Spain4
Peru1.3
Avg goals for
Spain1.8
Peru2
Avg goals against
Spain0.5
Peru0
Clean sheets
Spain2
Market aligned with main pickSpain Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 91% · edge -29.6 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Spain's season stats reveal a potent attack averaging 1.33 goals per match and a solid defense conceding only 0.33 goals, supporting a low BTTS rate of 33%. Peru's higher goals conceded (1.67) and BTTS rate (67%) reflect defensive vulnerabilities but are tempered by their current injury issues, making a Spain clean sheet more plausible in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Peru Over 2.5
33%Spain Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Spain have a lower Over 2.5 Goals rate (33%) compared to Peru's 67%, reflecting Spain's tendency towards controlled, lower-scoring games. The trend suggests a match with limited goal-scoring chances, consistent with Spain's defensive approach and Peru's challenges in attack, supporting a low-scoring outcome in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Peru v Spain prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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