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Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29
v
Lyon crestLyon

Ligue 1 | Sun 08 Nov, 16:15

Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 04:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stade Brestois 29 hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and a propensity for creating set-piece opportunities. Brestois sits mid-table with a solid home presence, while Lyon, positioned third, aims to maintain their strong form. Recent matches suggest an open tempo with both sides generating multiple attacking plays, increasing the likelihood of corner situations. The tactical approach from both teams emphasizes wing play and crossing, which typically results in frequent corners. This fixture promises a dynamic battle with sustained pressure and territorial exchanges, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Both teams average around 3 corners per match, combining for over 6 per game on average.
  • Recent form shows a high tempo with Brestois and Lyon both involved in matches with multiple set-piece opportunities.
  • The model estimates a 68% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Lyon’s attacking style and Brestois’ defensive pressure contribute to frequent corner wins.
  • The price offers positive value with a 10.2% edge over implied .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 68% chance, reflecting both teams' tendencies to generate corners through active wing play and sustained offensive pressure. Brestois and Lyon average a combined 6 corners per match, supported by their attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities that lead to frequent set-piece situations. The positive of 10.2% at of 1.73 highlights this as a statistically sound pick. is high at 79%, making this a compelling market to consider for bettors seeking corners.

Model Chance68% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+10.2 pts)
Strong positive
Combined Average Corners6.0 per match
Strong positive
Value Edge68% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+10.2 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level79%
Strong positive
Price Sensitivity68% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+10.2 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both Stade Brestois 29 and Lyon pushing forward aggressively, resulting in numerous corner situations. The attacking patterns and defensive pressures from both sides support the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners. This bet aligns well with the teams’ styles and recent match dynamics, making it a strong tactical and statistical choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market analysis

“The corner market here is compelling given both teams’ attacking wing play and defensive tendencies that often concede corners. The statistical backing and tactical context combine to make Over 9.5 Corners a smart angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Both teams average around 3 corners per match, combining for over 6 per game on average.

Recent form shows a high tempo with Brestois and Lyon both involved in matches with multiple set-piece opportunities.

The model estimates a 68% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

Lyon’s attacking style and Brestois’ defensive pressure contribute to frequent corner wins.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.8, indicating open games with attacking tempo.
  • This pace often correlates with increased corner counts as teams create more scoring opportunities from wide areas and transitions, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stade Brestois 292
Avg goals scored
Lyon1.8
Stade Brestois 291.2
Avg goals conceded
Lyon1
Stade Brestois 2980%
BTTS rate
Lyon40%
Stade Brestois 2960%
Over 2.5 goals
Lyon60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Brestois showing an 80% BTTS rate and Lyon 40%. This suggests attacking intent but also defensive gaps, which can lead to more attacking plays and consequently more corners as teams seek to create scoring chances from wide areas.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Lyon Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Lyon to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 68% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+10.2 pts). Lyon lead the corner sample at 3.2 per match, with Stade Brestois 29 lower at 2.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stade Brestois 29

WLDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
02 Nov 2026A Lorient2-0
23 Oct 2026H Nice1-2
17 Oct 2026A Lille1-1
10 Oct 2026H Angers5-1
20 Sep 2026A Auxerre1-2

Lyon

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Angers2-0
26 Oct 2026A Paris Saint Germain0-2
18 Oct 2026H Nice2-1
09 Oct 2026A Lens1-2
19 Sep 2026H Rennes4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 71% · edge +5.1 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Lyon Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lyon to WinBetUK guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent matches for both teams have seen a high number of corners, consistent with their attacking styles and defensive setups. Brestois and Lyon have been involved in games with sustained wing pressure and multiple set-piece situations, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
60%Lyon Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.8, indicating open games with attacking tempo. This pace often correlates with increased corner counts as teams create more scoring opportunities from wide areas and transitions, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners selection.

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