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Curaçao crestCuraçao
v
Aruba crestAruba

Friendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 01:00

Curaçao v Aruba Stats

Data last updated: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 15:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Curaçao face Aruba in Friendlies on Sun 07 Jun, 01:00. Flawless records against regional opponents showed top-tier attacking rhythm and clinical group dominance. With Aruba averaging high scorelines and finding attacking rhythm in their recent three-match winning streak, a hard-fought two-one victory for the World Cup-bound side is highly plausible.

BT4Y best bet

Ed up an injury in the 4-1 victory over Liechtenstein and could be rested as a precaution, with Nickenson Paul likely to come into the starting XI

  • At 9/5, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals scored to one conceded, while all of their recent matches in that sample have featured.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals scored to one conceded, while all of their recent matches in that sample have featured.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
Their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +40.3 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals scored to one conceded, while all of their recent matches in that sample have featured both teams scoring and an average. Curacao won the last competitive meeting but are carrying significant defensive bruises after conceding heavy volumes recently.

Main risk

Curacao won the last competitive meeting but are carrying significant defensive bruises after conceding heavy volumes recently.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals scored to one conceded, while all of their recent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Curaçao1
Avg goals scored
Aruba-
Curaçao4
Avg goals conceded
Aruba-
Curaçao100%
BTTS rate
Aruba-
Curaçao100%
Over 2.5 goals
Aruba-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Aruba to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
21
Check odds @ 21
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Curaçao to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Curaçao2
Avg corners for
Aruba-
Curaçao10
Avg total corners
Aruba-
Curaçao2
Avg yellow cards
Aruba-
Curaçao9
Avg shots
Aruba-
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 51% · edge +24.5 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Curaçao

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
30 May 2026A Scotland1-4

Aruba

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Aruba yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 17% · edge +63.2 pts
6.05
Check odds @ 6.05
Load more odds for this section
Aruba to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
21
Check odds @ 21
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Curaçao to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Curaçao wins
0Draws
0Aruba wins
09 Jun 2024Aruba v Curaçao0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Aruba to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
21
Check odds @ 21
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Curaçao to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Curaçao2
Played
Aruba1
Curaçao2.5
Avg goals for
Aruba0
Curaçao2
Avg goals against
Aruba4
Curaçao1
Clean sheets
Aruba0
Best odds for this sectionAruba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 5% · edge +48.8 pts
21
Check odds @ 21
Load more odds for this section
Curaçao to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Season data supports Aruba to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Curaçao Over 2.5
-Aruba Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Their friendly profile is even livelier, with four goals scored to one conceded, while all of their recent matches in that sample have featured both teams scoring.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.