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Canada crestCanada
v
Peru crestPeru

Friendlies | Sat 03 Oct, 19:00

Canada v Peru Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Canada face Peru in Friendlies on Sat 03 Oct, 19:00. The home victory fits this fixture by pairing Canada’s established defensive platform with an opponent currently struggling to keep goals out. Canada look stronger on recent form, while Peru remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y best bet

Canada to win

  • Canada to win is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • — Canada have recorded five home clean sheets during 2026.
  • Canada have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Peru.
  • Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Canada to win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Canada to win around 66% on the latest available numbers. Canada have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Peru. — Canada have recorded five home clean sheets during 2026.

Canada have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
— Canada have recorded five home clean sheets during.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Canada Win is the preferred angle because — Canada have recorded five home clean sheets during 2026. Canada have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Peru. Peru carry the stronger scoring threat, but Canada must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Peru carry the stronger scoring threat, but Canada must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Canada to win evidence

— Canada have recorded five home clean sheets during 2026.

Canada have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Peru.

Canada have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Canada Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Canada to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Canada1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Peru1.4
    Canada0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Peru2.2
    Canada40%
    BTTS rate
    Peru100%
    Canada20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Peru80%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Canada

    WDWDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 0L
    27 Sep 2026H Chile1-0
    06 Jun 2026H Rep. Of Ireland1-1
    02 Jun 2026H Uzbekistan2-0
    01 Apr 2026H Tunisia0-0
    28 Mar 2026H Iceland2-2

    Peru

    DLLWD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 3L
    30 Sep 2026A Mexico1-1
    26 Sep 2026A USA1-4
    09 Jun 2026H Spain1-3
    06 Jun 2026A Haiti2-1
    31 Mar 2026H Honduras2-2

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Canada Over 2.5
    80%Peru Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Canada sit at 20% and Peru sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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