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Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
v
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin

Bundesliga | Sat 05 Sep, 14:30

Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 04:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bayer Leverkusen face Union Berlin in Bundesliga on Sat 05 Sep, 14:30. Leverkusen conceded twice inside the opening 10 minutes at Elversberg, turning their first league match into an early recovery exercise. Union's recent scoring form and Leverkusen's defensive lapses make this combined outcome credible despite some risk from Leverkusen's recent home record.

BT4Y best bet

Leverkusen to win and both teams to score

  • Leverkusen to win and both teams to score is rated around 45% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Leverkusen's history of scoring multiple goals at home against Union and Union's poor defensive record away support a 3-1 scoreline.
  • Bayer Leverkusen need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bayer Leverkusen on 0 and Union Berlin on 1.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Bayer Leverkusen and 100% for Union Berlin.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Leverkusen to win and both teams to score around 45% on the latest available numbers. Bayer Leverkusen need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bayer Leverkusen on 0 and Union Berlin on 1. Leverkusen's history of scoring multiple goals at home against Union and Union's poor defensive record away support a 3-1 scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Leverkusen's history of scoring multiple goals at home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bayer Leverkusen Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because leverkusen's history of scoring multiple goals at home against Union and Union's poor defensive record away support a 3-1 scoreline. Bayer Leverkusen need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bayer Leverkusen on 0 and Union Berlin on 1. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Leverkusen to win and both teams to score evidence

Leverkusen's history of scoring multiple goals at home against Union and Union's poor defensive record away support a.

Bayer Leverkusen need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Bayer Leverkusen on 0 and Union Berlin on 1.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Bayer Leverkusen and 100% for Union Berlin.

Bayer Leverkusen Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2 for Bayer Leverkusen and 3 for Union Berlin are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Leverkusen to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Bayer Leverkusen3
Avg corners for
Union Berlin5
Bayer Leverkusen7
Avg total corners
Union Berlin7
Bayer Leverkusen2
Avg yellow cards
Union Berlin2
Bayer Leverkusen21
Avg shots
Union Berlin19
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 56% · edge +8.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bayer Leverkusen2
Avg goals scored
Union Berlin3
Bayer Leverkusen3
Avg goals conceded
Union Berlin3
Bayer Leverkusen100%
BTTS rate
Union Berlin100%
Bayer Leverkusen100%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 79% · edge -14.4 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Bayer Leverkusen Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bayer Leverkusen

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026A SV Elversberg2-3

Union Berlin

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt3-3
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 89% · edge -10.9 pts
1.12
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Bayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Bayer Leverkusen wins
4Draws
1Union Berlin wins
21 Feb 2026Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen1-0
04 Oct 2025Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin2-0
12 Apr 2025Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin0-0
30 Nov 2024Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen1-2
06 Apr 2024Union Berlin v Bayer Leverkusen0-1
12 Nov 2023Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin4-0
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 69% · edge -11.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for Bayer Leverkusen to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen4
Played
Union Berlin4
Bayer Leverkusen2.5
Avg goals for
Union Berlin1
Bayer Leverkusen1.3
Avg goals against
Union Berlin4.3
Bayer Leverkusen2
Clean sheets
Union Berlin0
Market aligned with main pickBayer Leverkusen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 79% · edge -14.4 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
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Bayer Leverkusen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Season data supports Bayer Leverkusen Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Bayer Leverkusen742115
17Union Berlin14013-13
Bayer Leverkusen sit in position 5, while Union Berlin sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Leverkusen to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
100%Union Berlin Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bayer Leverkusen sit at 100% and Union Berlin sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.