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Talleres Cordoba crestTalleres Cordoba
v
Defensa Y Justicia crestDefensa Y Justicia

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 24 Oct, 21:00

Talleres Cordoba v Defensa Y Justicia Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Defensa Y Justicia visiting Talleres Cordoba, with Defensa Y Justicia in strong form and sitting third in the standings, while Talleres Cordoba occupies 15th place. Defensa Y Justicia has been more effective offensively and defensively recently, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding just 0.6 per match, compared to Talleres Cordoba's 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Talleres Cordoba's recent struggles in attack and defense contrast with Defensa Y Justicia's momentum, making this a challenging away test for the home side. Tactical discipline and finishing efficiency will be key factors in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Defensa Y Justicia to Win

  • Defensa Y Justicia ranks 3rd with 24 points; Talleres Cordoba is 15th with 9 points.
  • Defensa Y Justicia averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded recently, showing strong form.
  • Talleres Cordoba has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate but concedes 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Defensa Y Justicia averages 17.2 shots and 6 on target per match, reflecting attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Defensa Y Justicia's of 70% to win is supported by their superior recent form, stronger defensive record, and higher shot volumes compared to Talleres Cordoba. The team’s efficient attack and solid defense create a clear football read for an away win. Talleres Cordoba's lower scoring and higher goals conceded reduce their chances. The pricing at 3.5 offers positive value given the model's and the tactical context favoring Defensa Y Justicia's momentum and defensive stability.

Recent formDefensa Y Justicia has 10 points vs Talleres Cordoba's 4 in recent matches
Strong positive
Defensive recordDefensa Y Justicia concedes 0.6 goals vs Talleres Cordoba's 1.4
Strong positive
Attacking pressureDefensa Y Justicia averages 17.2 shots and 6 SOT per game
Positive
League standingDefensa Y Justicia is 3rd, Talleres Cordoba 15th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Defensa Y Justicia's tactical discipline and recent defensive solidity make them well placed to secure an away victory against a Talleres Cordoba side struggling for goals and defensive consistency. Their higher league position and superior recent form underline their capability to control the match and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Defensa Y Justicia's balance between solid defense and effective attacking pressure positions them as strong contenders to win this fixture, especially given Talleres Cordoba's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate.”

Key Data Signals

Defensa Y Justicia to Win evidence

Defensa Y Justicia ranks 3rd with 24 points; Talleres Cordoba is 15th with 9 points.

Defensa Y Justicia averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded recently, showing strong form.

Talleres Cordoba has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate but concedes 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

Defensa Y Justicia averages 17.2 shots and 6 on target per match, reflecting attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Defensa Y Justicia to Win notes

  • The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 2.9 goals per game, suggesting a moderately open scoring trend.
  • Talleres Cordoba's recent matches show a higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%), while Defensa Y Justicia's matches trend lower (40%).
  • This indicates potential for goals but also a tactical contest where Defensa Y Justicia's defense could suppress Talleres Cordoba's attack.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Talleres Cordoba0.8
Avg goals scored
Defensa Y Justicia1.8
Talleres Cordoba1.4
Avg goals conceded
Defensa Y Justicia0.6
Talleres Cordoba60%
BTTS rate
Defensa Y Justicia20%
Talleres Cordoba60%
Over 2.5 goals
Defensa Y Justicia40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 47% · edge +7.6 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form shows Talleres Cordoba matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS, indicating open games with goals at both ends. Defensa Y Justicia's matches have fewer goals and only 20% BTTS, suggesting a more controlled approach. This contrast points to a tactical battle where Defensa Y Justicia's defense could limit Talleres Cordoba's scoring chances.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDefensa Y Justicia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Defensa Y Justicia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 43.6% for Defensa Y Justicia to Win sits against roughly 28.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Defensa Y Justicia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Talleres Cordoba.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Talleres Cordoba

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
17 Oct 2026A Boca Juniors1-2
12 Oct 2026H Independiente0-0
04 Oct 2026H Belgrano Cordoba0-1
20 Sep 2026A Instituto Cordoba1-3
13 Sep 2026H Union Santa Fe2-1

Defensa Y Justicia

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
16 Oct 2026H Instituto Cordoba0-1
10 Oct 2026A Union Santa Fe2-0
03 Oct 2026H San Lorenzo3-0
18 Sep 2026A Central Cordoba de Santiago2-2
11 Sep 2026H Gimnasia M.2-0
Market aligned with main pickDefensa Y Justicia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Defensa Y Justicia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Defensa Y Justicia's recent form is strong, earning 10 points with a solid defensive record of 0.6 goals conceded per game. Talleres Cordoba has struggled, collecting only 4 points and scoring fewer goals. This form disparity suggests Defensa Y Justicia is better prepared and more confident, increasing their chances of an away win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Talleres Cordoba Over 2.5
40%Defensa Y Justicia Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 2.9 goals per game, suggesting a moderately open scoring trend. Talleres Cordoba's recent matches show a higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%), while Defensa Y Justicia's matches trend lower (40%). This indicates potential for goals but also a tactical contest where Defensa Y Justicia's defense could suppress Talleres Cordoba's attack.

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