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Chelsea crestChelsea
v
Tottenham crestTottenham

Premier League | Tue 19 May, 20:15

Chelsea v Tottenham Stats

Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 07:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Chelsea face Tottenham in Premier League on Tue 19 May, 20:15. Chelsea are winless in six home league games, scoring just four times. Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur are on a four-game unbeaten run, showing strong resilience under Roberto De Zerbi.

BT4Y best bet

Wins if Tottenham win the match or if the game finishes in a stalemate

  • At 11/2, Tottenham Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Chelsea recently recorded a 1-1 outcome against Liverpool at home, while Tottenham drew 1-1 with Leeds last time out.
  • Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chelsea.
  • Tottenham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Tottenham Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Chelsea sit 10 in the table, while Tottenham sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Tottenham Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chelsea. Chelsea recently recorded a 1-1 outcome against Liverpool at home, while Tottenham drew 1-1 with Leeds last time out.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Strong positive
Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Tottenham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Chelsea recently recorded a 1-1 outcome against Liverpool at.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tottenham Win is the preferred angle because chelsea recently recorded a 1-1 outcome against Liverpool at home, while Tottenham drew 1-1 with Leeds last time out. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chelsea. There have been moments of resilience, but not enough authority.

Main risk

There have been moments of resilience, but not enough authority.

Key Data Signals

Tottenham Win evidence

Chelsea recently recorded a 1-1 outcome against Liverpool at home, while Tottenham drew 1-1 with Leeds last time.

Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 1 for Chelsea.

Tottenham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Tottenham Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Chelsea sit 10 in the table, while Tottenham sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Tottenham Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Chelsea0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Tottenham1.2
    Chelsea2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Tottenham1
    Chelsea40%
    BTTS rate
    Tottenham60%
    Chelsea60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tottenham40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 65% · edge +1.3 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Chelsea and 60% for Tottenham, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Chelsea

    DLLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 7L
    09 May 2026A Liverpool1-1
    04 May 2026H Nottingham Forest1-3
    21 Apr 2026A Brighton0-3
    18 Apr 2026H Manchester United0-1
    12 Apr 2026H Manchester City0-3

    Tottenham

    DWWDL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    11 May 2026H Leeds1-1
    03 May 2026A Aston Villa2-1
    25 Apr 2026A Wolves1-0
    18 Apr 2026H Brighton2-2
    12 Apr 2026A Sunderland0-1
    Market aligned with main pickTottenham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 26% · edge +44.4 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Tottenham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    10Chelsea52381410146
    17Tottenham4138101117-9
    Chelsea sit in position 10, while Tottenham sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Tottenham Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickTottenham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 26% · edge +44.4 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Tottenham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Tottenham to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Chelsea5.6
    Avg corners for
    Tottenham7.4
    Chelsea10.6
    Avg total corners
    Tottenham11.2
    Chelsea2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Tottenham3.6
    Chelsea13.2
    Avg shots
    Tottenham12.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 46% · edge +29.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    8Chelsea wins
    1Draws
    1Tottenham wins
    01 Nov 2025Tottenham v Chelsea0-1
    03 Apr 2025Chelsea v Tottenham1-0
    08 Dec 2024Tottenham v Chelsea3-4
    02 May 2024Chelsea v Tottenham2-0
    06 Nov 2023Tottenham v Chelsea1-4
    26 Feb 2023Tottenham v Chelsea2-0
    Market aligned with main pickTottenham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 26% · edge +44.4 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Tottenham to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Chelsea38
    Played
    Tottenham38
    Chelsea1.5
    Avg goals for
    Tottenham1.3
    Chelsea1.4
    Avg goals against
    Tottenham1.5
    Chelsea9
    Clean sheets
    Tottenham9
    Market aligned with main pickTottenham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 26% · edge +44.4 pts
    3.9
    Check odds @ 3.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Tottenham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports Tottenham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Chelsea Over 2.5
    40%Tottenham Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Chelsea sit at 60% and Tottenham sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.