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Atletico Goianiense crestAtletico Goianiense
v
Novorizontino crestNovorizontino

Serie B | Sat 24 Oct, 20:30

Atletico Goianiense v Novorizontino Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Novorizontino host Atletico Goianiense in a tightly poised Serie B clash where home attacking consistency meets away resilience. Novorizontino boast a remarkable streak of scoring in 26 consecutive home league matches, underpinning their offensive reliability. Atletico Goianiense arrive unbeaten in six away games, showcasing a disciplined defensive structure and a potent transition threat with over 43 dangerous attacks per match. Both teams have a history of draws in recent meetings, reflecting a tactical battle of control and patience. This fixture promises a contest where offensive persistence and defensive compactness will be tested intensely under promotion pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Novorizontino have scored in 26 straight home league matches, showing strong attacking consistency.
  • Atletico Goianiense are unbeaten in their last six away games, demonstrating solid defensive resilience.
  • Both teams average over 39 dangerous attacks per match, indicating offensive threat from both sides.
  • Recent head-to-heads show three draws in the last four meetings, highlighting tactical balance.
  • Novorizontino face defensive disruption due to a key suspension, increasing chances of goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by Novorizontino's long-standing home scoring streak and Atletico Goianiense's effective away attacking output, averaging 43.33 dangerous attacks per match. Despite Atletico's mid-table position, their high passing accuracy and transition threat create clear scoring opportunities. Novorizontino's defensive reshuffle due to suspension further opens avenues for goals. The model recognizes a 63.3% chance for BTTS with a positive of 9.8%, reflecting a strong football read for goals from both sides in a tactically intense fixture.

Novorizontino Home Scoring Streak26 consecutive home matches with goals
Strong positive
Atletico Goianiense Away Offensive Threat43.33 dangerous attacks per match
Strong positive
Defensive DisruptionKey Novorizontino defender suspended
Positive
Passing AccuracyAtletico Goianiense 82% accuracy
Positive
Recent Head-to-Head Draws3 of last 4 matches drawn
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to find the net consistently, with Novorizontino's home scoring streak and Atletico Goianiense's resilient away form setting the stage for goals at both ends. The tactical battle is likely to be tight, but offensive quality and defensive absences suggest a match where both sides will score.

Main risk

Their numbers are less spectacular, but far from weak.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture pits Novorizontino's relentless home attack against Atletico Goianiense's structured away resilience, making Both Teams to Score a compelling market given the attacking patterns and defensive vulnerabilities on display.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Novorizontino have scored in 26 straight home league matches, showing strong attacking consistency.

Atletico Goianiense are unbeaten in their last six away games, demonstrating solid defensive resilience.

Both teams average over 39 dangerous attacks per match, indicating offensive threat from both sides.

Recent head-to-heads show three draws in the last four meetings, highlighting tactical balance.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last five meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, with three draws and frequent 1-1 or 2-2 scorelines.
  • Novorizontino's 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Atletico Goianiense's 20%, suggesting Novorizontino push for more open play while Atletico prefer tighter matches, creating a dynamic conducive to goals from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico Goianiense1.2
Avg goals scored
Novorizontino2.4
Atletico Goianiense1
Avg goals conceded
Novorizontino0.6
Atletico Goianiense60%
BTTS rate
Novorizontino40%
Atletico Goianiense20%
Over 2.5 goals
Novorizontino60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +3.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Novorizontino's 26-match home scoring streak and Atletico Goianiense's average of 43.33 dangerous attacks per game create a strong offensive environment. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, with Novorizontino allowing 37 goals this season and Atletico GO conceding 32, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 60% · edge +3.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Novorizontino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Novorizontino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Atletico Goianiense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 63.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). Atletico Goianiense show a 60% BTTS rate and Novorizontino show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Market
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico Goianiense

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
16 Oct 2026A Ponte Preta1-1
11 Oct 2026H Sport Recife1-1
08 Oct 2026A CRB1-3
03 Oct 2026H America Mineiro2-0
26 Sep 2026A Goias1-0

Novorizontino

DWWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
18 Oct 2026A Vila Nova2-2
12 Oct 2026H Ponte Preta5-1
08 Oct 2026A Nautico Recife2-0
02 Oct 2026H Goias3-0
25 Sep 2026H São Bernardo0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Novorizontino Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Novorizontino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Atletico Goianiense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Atletico Goianiense to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Novorizontino have collected 11 points in their last six matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.6, reflecting strong home form. Atletico Goianiense have earned 8 points in the same period, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per game, showing resilience but less offensive output. Both teams have BTTS rates around 40-60%, supporting the pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Atletico Goianiense Over 2.5
60%Novorizontino Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last five meetings, the average goals per game is 2.8, with three draws and frequent 1-1 or 2-2 scorelines. Novorizontino's 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Atletico Goianiense's 20%, suggesting Novorizontino push for more open play while Atletico prefer tighter matches, creating a dynamic conducive to goals from both sides.

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