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Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan | Sat 24 Oct, 16:30

Kalmar FF v IF Brommapojkarna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 18:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash features Kalmar FF hosting IF Brommapojkarna in a late-season fixture with both sides aiming to improve their league standing. Kalmar FF sits near the relegation zone with limited recent success, while IF Brommapojkarna has shown better form and more attacking threat. Brommapojkarna's ability to create chances and score goals contrasts with Kalmar's struggles to find the net, setting up a tactical battle where Brommapojkarna's offensive edge and momentum could prove decisive in this away encounter.

BT4Y best bet

IF Brommapojkarna to Win

  • IF Brommapojkarna holds a strong of 61.2% to win, with positive value at 3.9 .
  • Recent form favors Brommapojkarna, who earned 6 points recently versus Kalmar's 3, with higher goals scored per game.
  • Brommapojkarna averages 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games with scoring chances.
  • Kalmar FF's defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.8 goals per match, compared to Brommapojkarna's 2.4, but Kalmar's attack is less potent.
  • Key players like M. Hansen and Kamilcan Sever provide Brommapojkarna with goal threat and shot volume advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors IF Brommapojkarna to win with a 61.2% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output compared to Kalmar FF. Brommapojkarna's higher goals per game and shots on target rates underline their offensive edge, while Kalmar's low scoring and defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of an away victory. The positive at current supports this selection as a solid betting opportunity. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, making it a confident choice based on form and statistical profiles.

Model Win Probability61.2%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBrommapojkarna 6 vs Kalmar 3
Strong positive
Goals Per GameBrommapojkarna 1.8 vs Kalmar 0.4
Strong positive
Shots on Target Per GameBrommapojkarna 3.8 vs Kalmar 3.2
Positive
Value Edge40% model chance vs 25% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

IF Brommapojkarna's recent attacking form and higher scoring rate give them a tactical and statistical advantage over Kalmar FF, who have struggled offensively. Brommapojkarna's ability to create quality chances and convert them, combined with Kalmar's defensive frailties, makes an away win the most probable outcome in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Brommapojkarna's offensive momentum and key players like M. Hansen position them well to exploit Kalmar's defensive weaknesses, making their victory a compelling prospect in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

IF Brommapojkarna to Win evidence

IF Brommapojkarna holds a strong of 61.2% to win, with positive value at 3.9 .

Recent form favors Brommapojkarna, who earned 6 points recently versus Kalmar's 3, with higher goals scored per game.

Brommapojkarna averages 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games with scoring chances.

Kalmar FF's defensive record is weaker, conceding 1.8 goals per match, compared to Brommapojkarna's 2.4, but Kalmar's attack is less potent.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Brommapojkarna to Win notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.63, supporting the likelihood of a moderately high-scoring match.
  • Brommapojkarna's recent matches show a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting the fixture could feature multiple goals driven by their attacking style.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalmar FF0.4
Avg goals scored
IF Brommapojkarna1.8
Kalmar FF1.8
Avg goals conceded
IF Brommapojkarna2.4
Kalmar FF20%
BTTS rate
IF Brommapojkarna60%
Kalmar FF40%
Over 2.5 goals
IF Brommapojkarna60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 60% · edge +0.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams' recent matches suggest a tendency towards open games, with Brommapojkarna showing a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and BTTS rate, while Kalmar FF's matches are less frequently high scoring. This points to a game where Brommapojkarna's attacking intent could lead to multiple goals and both teams scoring is plausible.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalmar FF

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
19 Oct 2026A Degerfors IF2-1
12 Oct 2026A Malmo FF0-1
20 Sep 2026H BK Hacken0-5
13 Sep 2026A IF Elfsborg0-1
07 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1

IF Brommapojkarna

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
16 Oct 2026H Djurgardens IF0-2
10 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm6-5
19 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg0-1
13 Sep 2026A Hammarby FF1-3
06 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg2-1
Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
IF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form data favors IF Brommapojkarna, who have collected 6 points compared to Kalmar FF's 3 in their last matches. Brommapojkarna's higher goals scored per game and BTTS rate reflect better offensive execution and resilience, suggesting they enter this fixture with more momentum and .
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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IF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 40% for IF Brommapojkarna to Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price (+15 pts). IF Brommapojkarna have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Kalmar FF.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
60%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
2.63H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.63, supporting the likelihood of a moderately high-scoring match. Brommapojkarna's recent matches show a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting the fixture could feature multiple goals driven by their attacking style.

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