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BSC Young Boys crestBSC Young Boys
v
FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen

Super League | Sat 24 Oct, 19:30

BSC Young Boys v FC ST. Gallen Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 19:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

BSC Young Boys host FC ST. Gallen in a Super League clash where both teams seek to consolidate their positions in the top four. Young Boys, currently second with 22 points, have shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.8 goals per game recently, while St. Gallen, fourth with 16 points, have been less prolific. The home side's offensive prowess and higher recent points tally suggest they will look to control the match tempo and press for a win in this key fixture.

BT4Y best bet

BSC Young Boys to Win

  • BSC Young Boys have a 61% to win, with a positive at 1.8 .
  • Young Boys average 2.8 goals per game recently, double St. Gallen's 1.4 goals per game.
  • Both teams have similar shot volumes, but Young Boys convert chances more effectively.
  • Young Boys rank 2nd in the league, six points clear of St. Gallen in 4th place.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors BSC Young Boys to win based on their superior recent scoring rate and league standing. Young Boys' attack is potent, averaging 2.8 goals per game with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating offensive control. Their higher points total and home advantage further strengthen their chances. The reflect a small positive , making this a sensible selection given the team's consistent form and attacking threat. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent Goal Scoring2.8 goals per game for Young Boys vs 1.4 for St. Gallen
Strong positive
League PositionYoung Boys 2nd vs St. Gallen 4th
Positive
Model Win Probability61% chance for Young Boys
Strong positive
Odds Value Edge61% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+5.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BSC Young Boys are tactically well-positioned to leverage their strong attacking form and home advantage against FC St. Their higher recent goal output and league standing provide a solid statistical foundation for expecting a home win in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical superiority of BSC Young Boys

“Young Boys' consistent offensive pressure and ability to create quality chances make them the clear favorites to secure victory at home against a less potent St.”

Key Data Signals

BSC Young Boys to Win evidence

BSC Young Boys have a 61% to win, with a positive at 1.8 .

Young Boys average 2.8 goals per game recently, double St. Gallen's 1.4 goals per game.

Both teams have similar shot volumes, but Young Boys convert chances more effectively.

Young Boys rank 2nd in the league, six points clear of St. Gallen in 4th place.

What To Watch In The Data

BSC Young Boys to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4 per game, indicating a relatively high-scoring fixture historically.
  • This trend aligns with Young Boys' recent over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggesting the match is likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo favoring the home side's attack.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

BSC Young Boys2.8
Avg goals scored
FC ST. Gallen1.4
BSC Young Boys1.8
Avg goals conceded
FC ST. Gallen1.6
BSC Young Boys80%
BTTS rate
FC ST. Gallen40%
BSC Young Boys80%
Over 2.5 goals
FC ST. Gallen60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 94% · edge -6.3 pts
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent trends show Young Boys averaging 2.8 goals per game with an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while St. Gallen averages 1.4 goals with a 60% over 2.5 rate. Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates, with Young Boys at 80% and St. Gallen at 40%, indicating a likely open game favoring goals from the home side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 61% for BSC Young Boys to Win sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+5.4 pts). BSC Young Boys have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 9 for FC ST.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

BSC Young Boys

WWDDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
11 Oct 2026A Grasshoppers2-0
19 Sep 2026H Servette FC3-2
12 Sep 2026A FC Lugano2-2
05 Sep 2026H FC Luzern3-3
01 Sep 2026A FC Zurich4-2

FC ST. Gallen

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
11 Oct 2026H Lausanne1-0
20 Sep 2026A FC Basel 18933-1
16 Sep 2026A FC Lugano1-4
12 Sep 2026H FC Sion0-3
06 Sep 2026A Servette FC2-0
Market aligned with main pickBSC Young Boys to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 85%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BSC Young Boys Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Young Boys have accumulated 11 points recently with a strong attacking output of 2.8 goals per game, compared to St. Gallen's 9 points and 1.4 goals per game. This recent form disparity highlights Young Boys' momentum and goal-scoring consistency, reinforcing their status as favorites to win this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%BSC Young Boys Over 2.5
60%FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4 per game, indicating a relatively high-scoring fixture historically. This trend aligns with Young Boys' recent over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggesting the match is likely to feature multiple goals and an open tempo favoring the home side's attack.

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