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Banfield crestBanfield
v
Lanus crestLanus

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 24 Oct, 18:45

Banfield v Lanus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Lanus visiting Banfield, with Lanus currently fifth in the standings and enjoying a strong run of form, having accumulated 13 points recently compared to Banfield's 6. Lanus boasts a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.2 goals per game recently, while Banfield's attack has struggled to convert chances consistently. The tactical setup suggests Lanus will look to control the midfield and exploit Banfield's defensive vulnerabilities, aiming to secure a vital away win in this competitive league encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Lanus to Win

  • Lanus has a 70% to win, with offering good value at 2.1.
  • Lanus concedes only 0.2 goals per game recently, indicating strong defensive solidity.
  • Banfield scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes at the same rate, showing defensive frailty.
  • Lanus's top attackers, including D. Wlk, have strong goal threat and shot accuracy.
  • Recent form favors Lanus with 13 points versus Banfield's 6 in the last matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Lanus to win due to their superior recent form, defensive strength, and attacking efficiency. Lanus concedes very few goals recently (0.2 per game) compared to Banfield's 1.2, and their attackers like D. Wlk show high shot accuracy and goal threat. The at 2.1 present positive value with a 22.4% edge, reflecting a strong chance for an away victory. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormLanus 13 points vs Banfield 6 points
Strong positive
Defensive RecordLanus concedes 0.2 goals/game, Banfield 1.2
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatLanus attackers have high shots on target and goals
Positive
Odds ValueOdds 2.1 imply 47.6% chance vs model 70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Lanus's recent defensive resilience and efficient attack make them the tactical favorite to secure an away win against Banfield, whose inconsistent form and defensive lapses leave them vulnerable. Lanus's ability to control midfield and capitalize on chances should be decisive in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Lanus's disciplined defense and clinical forwards position them well to exploit Banfield's defensive weaknesses, making an away win a compelling prospect in this Liga Profesional clash.”

Key Data Signals

Lanus to Win evidence

Lanus has a 70% to win, with offering good value at 2.1.

Lanus concedes only 0.2 goals per game recently, indicating strong defensive solidity.

Banfield scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes at the same rate, showing defensive frailty.

Lanus's top attackers, including D. Wlk, have strong goal threat and shot accuracy.

What To Watch In The Data

Lanus to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2, with both sides showing moderate scoring rates.
  • The trend suggests a balanced tempo with potential for a controlled game, aligning with Lanus's defensive strengths and Banfield's attacking attempts.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Banfield1.2
Avg goals scored
Lanus1.6
Banfield1.2
Avg goals conceded
Lanus0.2
Banfield80%
BTTS rate
Lanus20%
Banfield40%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Goal trends show Banfield scores and concedes around 1.2 goals per game, while Lanus concedes just 0.2 recently, suggesting a low likelihood of both teams scoring. Banfield's 80% BTTS rate contrasts with Lanus's 20%, indicating Lanus may keep a clean sheet, favoring a win without BTTS.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The 62.6% for Lanus to Win sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lanus have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Banfield.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Banfield

LWDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
17 Oct 2026H Argentinos JRS0-1
10 Oct 2026A Tigre2-1
06 Oct 2026H Rosario Central1-1
19 Sep 2026A Gimnasia L.P.2-2
14 Sep 2026H Barracas Central1-1

Lanus

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
17 Oct 2026A Platense1-0
12 Oct 2026H Velez Sarsfield2-0
03 Oct 2026A Newells Old Boys0-0
22 Sep 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-1
14 Sep 2026A Deportivo Riestra3-0
Market aligned with main pickLanus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Lanus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Lanus's recent form is impressive with 13 points gained, reflecting consistent performances and defensive solidity. Banfield's 6 points indicate struggles to maintain momentum, with defensive vulnerabilities and less clinical finishing contributing to their lower output.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Banfield Over 2.5
40%Lanus Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2, with both sides showing moderate scoring rates. The trend suggests a balanced tempo with potential for a controlled game, aligning with Lanus's defensive strengths and Banfield's attacking attempts.

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