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CF Montreal crestCF Montreal
v
Nashville SC crestNashville SC

Major League Soccer | Sat 24 Oct, 18:30

CF Montreal v Nashville SC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features Nashville SC, the league leaders with a commanding 67 points, visiting a struggling CF Montreal side sitting 15th with 25 points. Nashville SC have been in strong form, conceding just 0.4 goals per game and averaging nearly three goals scored, showcasing a potent attack and solid defense. CF Montreal's recent performances have been less convincing, with a leaky defense conceding 1.8 goals per match and limited scoring output. The tactical setup suggests Nashville SC will look to control possession and exploit Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities in this crucial late-season encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Nashville SC to Win

  • Nashville SC leads the league with 67 points, CF Montreal has 25 points.
  • Nashville SC concedes only 0.4 goals per game, Montreal concedes 1.8.
  • Nashville SC averages 2.8 goals scored per match, Montreal only 1.
  • Nashville SC averages 17 shots and 8.4 shots on target per game, Montreal 11.6 and 3.6 respectively.
  • Nashville SC has a 70% to win with positive value at 1.62 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Nashville SC's strong defensive record combined with their high scoring rate and superior recent form underpins the 70% to win. Their control in shots and shots on target per game reflects offensive pressure likely to break down Montreal's weaker defense. The of 1.62 offer positive value given the implied 61.7% chance, making this a solid selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Nashville SC Goals For2.8 per game
Strong positive
Nashville SC Goals Against0.4 per game
Strong positive
CF Montreal Defensive Record1.8 goals conceded per game
Negative
Odds Value Edge70% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+8.3 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Nashville SC's tactical discipline and clinical finishing have propelled them to the top of the MLS standings. Their ability to maintain defensive solidity while generating high-quality chances makes them the clear favorite. CF Montreal's defensive frailties and inconsistent form provide Nashville SC with a strong platform to secure victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Nashville SC's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them well to capitalize on Montreal's defensive struggles, making them the logical choice for the win.”

Key Data Signals

Nashville SC to Win evidence

Nashville SC leads the league with 67 points, CF Montreal has 25 points.

Nashville SC concedes only 0.4 goals per game, Montreal concedes 1.8.

Nashville SC averages 2.8 goals scored per match, Montreal only 1.

Nashville SC averages 17 shots and 8.4 shots on target per game, Montreal 11.6 and 3.6 respectively.

What To Watch In The Data

Nashville SC to Win notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, suggesting a moderately scoring fixture historically.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, indicating potential for multiple goals, particularly from Nashville SC's potent attack and Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CF Montreal1
Avg goals scored
Nashville SC2.8
CF Montreal1.8
Avg goals conceded
Nashville SC0.4
CF Montreal60%
BTTS rate
Nashville SC40%
CF Montreal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Nashville SC60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but Nashville SC's stronger defense and higher scoring average suggest a match likely to feature goals primarily from the visitors. BTTS is less likely given Nashville SC's defensive record and Montreal's lower scoring output, indicating a probable Nashville win with goals.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Major League Soccer analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 70% for Nashville SC to Win sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+8.3 pts). Nashville SC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 4 for CF Montreal.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CF Montreal

DLLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
18 Oct 2026A Seattle Sounders1-1
15 Oct 2026H Atlanta United FC0-3
10 Oct 2026A Toronto FC1-2
27 Sep 2026H FC Cincinnati3-1
20 Sep 2026H Columbus Crew0-2

Nashville SC

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
18 Oct 2026A San Jose Earthquakes1-1
15 Oct 2026H Sporting Kansas City4-0
11 Oct 2026A Austin4-1
27 Sep 2026H Toronto FC2-0
20 Sep 2026H Chicago Fire3-0
Market aligned with main pickNashville SC to WinBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Nashville SC's recent form is impressive, accumulating 13 points compared to Montreal's 4 in the same period. This momentum reflects their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity, reinforcing in their likelihood to secure victory in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
60%Nashville SC Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, suggesting a moderately scoring fixture historically. Both teams have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, indicating potential for multiple goals, particularly from Nashville SC's potent attack and Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities.

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