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DC United crestDC United
v
FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer | Sun 25 Oct, 00:30

DC United v FC Cincinnati Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

DC United and FC Cincinnati meet in a Major League Soccer clash where offensive output has been a defining feature this season. DC United concedes an average of 2.8 goals per game, while FC Cincinnati allows 2 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games, with DC United hitting over 2.5 goals in 100% of recent matches and FC Cincinnati in 80%. This fixture promises an open, attacking contest with both sides eager to secure points late in the campaign, setting the stage for a goal-laden encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • DC United concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty
  • FC Cincinnati averages 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per match
  • DC United has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently
  • Both teams have 80% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends
  • Recent H2H average goals stand at 3.2 per game over 10 matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong pick with a 58% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating positive value. Both teams exhibit high-scoring tendencies, with DC United's defense particularly leaky and FC Cincinnati maintaining a solid attacking output. The recent form data supports a game with multiple goals, and the historical head-to-head average of 3.2 goals per match further reinforces this expectation. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on consistent offensive and defensive patterns.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+3.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance58% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+3.4 pts)
Neutral
DC United Defensive Record2.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for DC United, 80% for FC Cincinnati
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals3.2 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both DC United and FC Cincinnati pushing forward aggressively. DC United's porous defense combined with FC Cincinnati's consistent attacking threat suggests multiple goals. This match's recent form and historical scoring trends align well with an Over 3.5 Goals outcome, making it a compelling selection for those anticipating an entertaining, high-scoring contest.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive weaknesses

“The attacking profiles of both teams, especially DC United's defensive vulnerabilities, set the stage for a high-scoring affair. Their recent matches confirm a pattern of open play and goal-rich encounters, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical expectation here.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

DC United concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty

FC Cincinnati averages 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per match

DC United has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently

Both teams have 80% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a history of open, attacking games.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

DC United1.4
Avg goals scored
FC Cincinnati1.6
DC United2.8
Avg goals conceded
FC Cincinnati2
DC United80%
BTTS rate
FC Cincinnati80%
DC United100%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have strong BTTS rates at 80%, and DC United's perfect recent over 2.5 goals rate signals frequent high-scoring matches. Combined with FC Cincinnati's attacking output, this suggests multiple goals from both sides, supporting an Over 3.5 Goals scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 75% · edge +2.8 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
FC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for DC United and 80% for FC Cincinnati, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

DC United

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
22 Oct 2026A FC Cincinnati1-2
18 Oct 2026A Orlando City SC1-4
15 Oct 2026H New York Red Bulls2-1
11 Oct 2026A Inter Miami0-4
27 Sep 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps3-3

FC Cincinnati

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
22 Oct 2026H DC United2-1
18 Oct 2026H Columbus Crew0-2
15 Oct 2026H New England Revolution2-3
11 Oct 2026A Atlanta United FC3-1
27 Sep 2026A CF Montreal1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 71% · edge +9.2 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
FC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DC United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
DC United to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Recent form data shows DC United scoring 1.4 goals per game but conceding 2.8, while FC Cincinnati scores 1.6 and concedes 2. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates, with DC United at 100% and FC Cincinnati at 80%, indicating recent matches have been goal-rich and supporting the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%DC United Over 2.5
80%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a history of open, attacking games. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals in this fixture.

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