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Rapid Vienna crestRapid Vienna
v
Austria Lustenau crestAustria Lustenau

Bundesliga | Sat 24 Oct, 18:30

Rapid Vienna v Austria Lustenau Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rapid Vienna hosts Austria Lustenau in a Bundesliga clash where goal-scoring potential is high. Rapid Vienna leads the league and boasts an aggressive attack averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Austria Lustenau struggles defensively, conceding 2.8 goals per match. Both teams have an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals recently, indicating open play and offensive intent. Austria Lustenau's need for points may push them forward, increasing chances for a high-scoring encounter at Rapid Vienna's home ground.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Rapid Vienna averages 2.4 goals per game with strong attacking output.
  • Austria Lustenau concedes 2.8 goals per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have 80% of recent matches finishing over 2.5 goals.
  • H2H average goals per match is 3.75 across four meetings.
  • Rapid Vienna leads the league, likely pushing for a commanding win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 58% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, slightly above the market's implied 55.6%, indicating a small positive . Rapid Vienna's potent attack combined with Austria Lustenau's defensive frailties and recent high-scoring trends support this. Both teams' recent matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, and their head-to-head average is close to 4 goals per game. The attacking roles of players like C. M'Buyi and Nikolaus Wurmbrand for Rapid Vienna, alongside Austria Lustenau's high shot volume from H. Ismailcebioglu, further enhance scoring potential. Data quality is solid, supporting in this pick.

Model chance58% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+2.4 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 rate both teams80% each
Strong positive
H2H average goals3.75 goals per match
Positive
Rapid Vienna attack strength2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Austria Lustenau defensive weakness2.8 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively match with Rapid Vienna's attacking firepower likely to dominate against Austria Lustenau's leaky defense. The combination of Rapid's league-leading form and Austria Lustenau's defensive struggles suggests a high-scoring game, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking and defensive dynamics shaping goal potential

“Rapid Vienna's offensive depth and Austria Lustenau's defensive lapses create a fertile ground for goals. The attacking roles of M'Buyi and Wurmbrand, coupled with Austria Lustenau's high shot volume, point to a match with multiple scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Rapid Vienna averages 2.4 goals per game with strong attacking output.

Austria Lustenau concedes 2.8 goals per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have 80% of recent matches finishing over 2.5 goals.

H2H average goals per match is 3.75 across four meetings.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.75, indicating a history of high-scoring games.
  • Both teams have maintained an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, suggesting a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goals.
  • This trend supports expectations for a lively, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rapid Vienna2.4
Avg goals scored
Austria Lustenau1.2
Rapid Vienna1.2
Avg goals conceded
Austria Lustenau2.8
Rapid Vienna40%
BTTS rate
Austria Lustenau40%
Rapid Vienna80%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria Lustenau80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches finishing over 2.5 goals, reflecting their offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. The head-to-head average of 3.75 goals per game further supports the expectation of a high-scoring encounter. BTTS rates are moderate at 40%, suggesting some matches see one-sided scoring but overall goal volume remains high.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 77% · edge -0.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Austria Lustenau to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Rapid Vienna to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+2.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Rapid Vienna and 80% for Austria Lustenau, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rapid Vienna

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 1L
16 Oct 2026H TSV Hartberg3-1
11 Oct 2026A Lask Linz2-0
18 Sep 2026H WSG Wattens3-0
12 Sep 2026A Wolfsberger AC3-0
02 Sep 2026A Red Bull Salzburg1-5

Austria Lustenau

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 5L
17 Oct 2026H Lask Linz0-4
11 Oct 2026A TSV Hartberg3-4
19 Sep 2026H SCR Altach2-0
13 Sep 2026A Austria Vienna1-2
28 Aug 2026H WSG Wattens0-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Austria Lustenau Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Austria Lustenau to WinBetUK guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Rapid Vienna to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
7
Check odds @ 7
Rapid Vienna has collected 12 points recently, scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2, showing strong offensive form. Austria Lustenau has struggled with just 3 points and concedes 2.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive issues. Both teams have an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Rapid Vienna Over 2.5
80%Austria Lustenau Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.75, indicating a history of high-scoring games. Both teams have maintained an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, suggesting a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goals. This trend supports expectations for a lively, goal-rich encounter.

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