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RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière
v
Zulte Waregem crestZulte Waregem

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 24 Oct, 19:45

RAAL La Louvière v Zulte Waregem Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Jupiler Pro League clash features RAAL La Louvière hosting Zulte Waregem in a fixture where both teams have shown contrasting defensive records and attacking intent. RAAL La Louvière, sitting 16th, have conceded heavily but also contributed to high-scoring games, while Zulte Waregem, positioned 8th, have a more balanced defensive profile yet maintain a steady attacking threat. Recent matches suggest an open encounter with potential for multiple goals, as both sides seek to improve their league standing and capitalize on offensive opportunities in this midweek evening fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • RAAL La Louvière have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Zulte Waregem's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 40%, showing moderate involvement in goal-rich games.
  • Both teams average nearly 13 shots per game, reflecting active offensive play from both sides.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.17 goals, supporting a trend toward multiple goals in this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 57.2% chance to Over 2.5 Goals, slightly above the implied market chance of 52.6%, indicating a small positive . RAAL La Louvière's defensive vulnerabilities combined with their high shot volume and Zulte Waregem's consistent attacking players like A. Hemsley, who averages over 10 shots on target per 90 minutes, create a scenario ripe for multiple goals. The data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in the attacking dynamics forecasted for this match.

Model Probability57.2% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+4.6 pts)
Positive
Market Implied Chance57.2% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+4.6 pts)
Neutral
RAAL La Louvière Defensive Record2.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Zulte Waregem Attacking ThreatA. Hemsley 10.29 shots on target per 90
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average2.17 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with RAAL La Louvière's defensive struggles likely to be exploited by Zulte Waregem's sharp attackers, particularly A. The combination of offensive intent and defensive lapses suggests a match with multiple goals, aligning well with the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking threat and defensive vulnerability

“Zulte Waregem's attacking players, especially A. Hemsley, have demonstrated impressive shot volumes and accuracy, while RAAL La Louvière's porous defense sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

RAAL La Louvière have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Zulte Waregem's Over 2.5 Goals rate stands at 40%, showing moderate involvement in goal-rich games.

Both teams average nearly 13 shots per game, reflecting active offensive play from both sides.

Head-to-head meetings average 2.17 goals, supporting a trend toward multiple goals in this fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.17, supporting a trend toward matches with multiple goals.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, especially considering RAAL La Louvière's defensive record and Zulte Waregem's attacking players' shot volumes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RAAL La Louvière1.2
Avg goals scored
Zulte Waregem0.8
RAAL La Louvière2.4
Avg goals conceded
Zulte Waregem1.6
RAAL La Louvière40%
BTTS rate
Zulte Waregem20%
RAAL La Louvière80%
Over 2.5 goals
Zulte Waregem40%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +4.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
RAAL La Louvière's 80% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Zulte Waregem's 40%, indicating RAAL's matches often feature multiple goals. Both teams have low BTTS rates, suggesting that while goals are likely, they may not always come from both sides, but the attacking impetus remains strong enough to push totals over 2.5.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 57% vs implied 53% · edge +4.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
RAAL La Louvière Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
RAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Zulte Waregem Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Zulte Waregem to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The 57.2% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+4.6 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for RAAL La Louvière and 40% for Zulte Waregem, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RAAL La Louvière

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 6L
10 Oct 2026H Club Brugge KV1-4
19 Sep 2026A OH Leuven0-2
13 Sep 2026H Kortrijk3-0
05 Sep 2026A St. Truiden0-4
29 Aug 2026H KV Mechelen2-2

Zulte Waregem

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
10 Oct 2026H Gent0-2
19 Sep 2026A Anderlecht0-3
13 Sep 2026H Charleroi0-1
06 Sep 2026A Kortrijk2-0
30 Aug 2026A KVC Westerlo2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +10 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
RAAL La Louvière Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
RAAL La Louvière to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Zulte Waregem Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Zulte Waregem to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form shows RAAL La Louvière scoring 1.2 goals per game but conceding 2.4, reflecting defensive frailty that inflates goal totals. Zulte Waregem's lower scoring rate of 0.8 and conceding 1.6 suggests a more balanced but less prolific approach. RAAL's high Over 2.5 rate of 80% in recent matches supports the expectation of a goal-rich game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%RAAL La Louvière Over 2.5
40%Zulte Waregem Over 2.5
2.17H2H avg goals
In the last six head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.17, supporting a trend toward matches with multiple goals. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, especially considering RAAL La Louvière's defensive record and Zulte Waregem's attacking players' shot volumes.

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