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Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid
v
Deportivo La Coruna crestDeportivo La Coruna

La Liga | Sat 24 Oct, 20:00

Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 19:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Copa del Rey last-16 clash at Riazor features Deportivo La Coruna aiming to leverage their home momentum against Atletico Madrid's elite firepower. Deportivo have won all three prior cup ties this season, showcasing resilience and clinical finishing at home. Atletico, despite being La Liga heavyweights, have stumbled recently with a draw and a defeat in 2026, adding tension to this one-off tie. The tactical battle will see Deportivo focus on compact midfield control and quick transitions, while Atletico will press with wing play and set-piece threats, making sustained pressure and corners a key feature of the match.

BT4Y best bet

Corners

  • Atletico Madrid averages 7.2 corners per game, reflecting their relentless wing play and territorial control.
  • Deportivo La Coruna averages 7.0 corners per game, indicating they can create set-piece opportunities despite defensive focus.
  • Atletico's tactical approach includes high pressing and wide attacks, increasing corner potential.
  • Deportivo's organized transitions may limit corners but quick counters can still generate set-piece chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The corners market is favored due to Atletico Madrid's consistent high corner count, averaging 7.2 per match, combined with Deportivo's respectable 7.0 average. Atletico's wing pressure and set-piece emphasis create sustained territorial control, increasing corner opportunities. Deportivo's defensive compactness and transition play may reduce corners but also lead to contested set-piece situations. The model assigns a 62.2% chance for corners over 9.5, reflecting the tactical and statistical likelihood of a high corner count in this cup tie.

Atletico Madrid average corners7.2 per game
Strong positive
Deportivo La Coruna average corners7.0 per game
Positive
Tactical styleAtletico's wing play and pressing
Strong positive
Deportivo's transition playMay limit corners but creates contested set pieces
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Corners are a natural focal point given Atletico Madrid's aggressive wing play and sustained pressure, which typically force opponents into conceding numerous set pieces. Deportivo's ability to stay organized and launch counters may temper the total but is unlikely to prevent Atletico from generating a high volume of corners. This tactical dynamic and statistical backing make the corners market a compelling angle for this fixture.

Main risk

A Copa del Rey last-16 night at Riazor doesn’t need much selling, but Deportivo La Coruña bring their own fuel.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market tactical and statistical insight

“Atletico's relentless wing attacks and set-piece prowess make corners a key battleground, while Deportivo's disciplined defense will contest every delivery, setting up a high-pressure scenario ripe for numerous corners.”

Key Data Signals

Corners evidence

Atletico Madrid averages 7.2 corners per game, reflecting their relentless wing play and territorial control.

Deportivo La Coruna averages 7.0 corners per game, indicating they can create set-piece opportunities despite defensive focus.

Atletico's tactical approach includes high pressing and wide attacks, increasing corner potential.

Deportivo's organized transitions may limit corners but quick counters can still generate set-piece chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Corners notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.6, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters.
  • However, recent form and tactical setups point to a higher tempo and increased attacking intent, especially from Atletico.
  • This suggests the potential for over 2.5 goals, driven by sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities, aligning with the corners market focus.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico Madrid2.4
Avg goals scored
Deportivo La Coruna1
Atletico Madrid0.4
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo La Coruna1.4
Atletico Madrid40%
BTTS rate
Deportivo La Coruna80%
Atletico Madrid80%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo La Coruna20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Both teams have shown offensive capability, with Deportivo averaging 1.0 goals and Atletico 2.4 goals per game recently. Deportivo's 80% BTTS rate and Atletico's 40% suggest a balanced chance for both teams scoring. The attacking styles and cup stakes support a lively game with goal opportunities for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Atletico Madrid to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Atletico Madrid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The 62.2% for Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+4.4 pts). Atletico Madrid lead the corner sample at 7.2 per match, with Deportivo La Coruna lower at 7. Sustained Pressure: Corner Averages
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico Madrid

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 1L
17 Oct 2026A Espanyol1-0
10 Oct 2026A Alaves2-1
20 Sep 2026H Real Madrid2-1
16 Sep 2026H Osasuna4-0
13 Sep 2026A Real Sociedad3-0

Deportivo La Coruna

DLDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 2L
16 Oct 2026H Levante1-1
11 Oct 2026A Real Sociedad2-3
20 Sep 2026H Real Betis1-1
16 Sep 2026H Sevilla0-1
13 Sep 2026A Getafe1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo La Coruna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Atletico Madrid to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Deportivo La Coruna to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
11
Check odds @ 11
Atletico Madrid Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Atletico Madrid's recent form shows 15 points with 2.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, alongside an 80% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating strong attacking output and pressure. Deportivo La Coruna has 3 points with 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with a 20% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting a more defensive posture. These trends support a match with sustained pressure and set-piece chances, especially corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Atletico Madrid Over 2.5
20%Deportivo La Coruna Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.6, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters. However, recent form and tactical setups point to a higher tempo and increased attacking intent, especially from Atletico. This suggests the potential for over 2.5 goals, driven by sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities, aligning with the corners market focus.

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