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Kidderminster Harriers crestKidderminster Harriers
v
Worthing crestWorthing

National League | Sat 24 Oct, 17:30

Kidderminster Harriers v Worthing Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 18:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash features Worthing visiting Kidderminster Harriers, with Worthing currently in better form and higher in the table. Worthing has collected 13 points recently, showcasing a strong attacking output averaging 2.6 goals per game, while Kidderminster has struggled to score, averaging just 0.4 goals and earning only 3 points in recent matches. Worthing's solid defense concedes fewer than one goal per game, adding to their . The visitors' offensive momentum and superior league standing set the stage for a competitive match with Worthing as the clear favorite.

BT4Y best bet

Worthing to Win

  • Worthing has won 70% with strong recent form and attack
  • Kidderminster has scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, showing offensive struggles
  • Worthing averages 2.6 goals per game and concedes just 0.8, indicating balance
  • Worthing ranks 5th in the league with 24 points, Kidderminster 11th with 20 points
  • Worthing's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, suggesting attacking matches likely

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Worthing to Win is supported by a 70% reflecting their superior recent form, goal-scoring ability, and defensive solidity. Worthing's attack is prolific, averaging 2.6 goals per game, while Kidderminster's offense is notably weak. The visitors' higher league position and consistent point accumulation further bolster in this selection. The price at 2.5 offers positive value given the clear statistical and form advantage. No data limitations affect this assessment, making Worthing a strong pick for this fixture.

Model chance54.2% model chance vs 39.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent formWorthing 13 points vs Kidderminster 3 points
Strong positive
Goals scoredWorthing 2.6 per game vs Kidderminster 0.4
Strong positive
Goals concededWorthing 0.8 per game vs Kidderminster 1.0
Positive
League standingsWorthing 5th vs Kidderminster 11th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Worthing's recent attacking form and higher league position make them the tactical and statistical favorite in this matchup. Their ability to score and defend effectively contrasts with Kidderminster's struggles to find the net, suggesting Worthing is well placed to secure victory in this National League fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Worthing's consistent goal-scoring and defensive discipline create a clear edge over Kidderminster, whose offensive struggles and lower league standing make an away win the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Worthing to Win evidence

Worthing has won 70% with strong recent form and attack

Kidderminster has scored only 0.4 goals per game recently, showing offensive struggles

Worthing averages 2.6 goals per game and concedes just 0.8, indicating balance

Worthing ranks 5th in the league with 24 points, Kidderminster 11th with 20 points

What To Watch In The Data

Worthing to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Worthing's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with an 80% rate in recent games.
  • This suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, contrasting with Kidderminster's more defensive posture and lower scoring frequency.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kidderminster Harriers0.4
Avg goals scored
Worthing2.6
Kidderminster Harriers1
Avg goals conceded
Worthing0.8
Kidderminster Harriers40%
BTTS rate
Worthing80%
Kidderminster Harriers20%
Over 2.5 goals
Worthing80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Worthing's high over 2.5 goals rate of 80% indicates matches involving them often feature multiple goals, supported by their 2.6 goals per game average. Kidderminster's low scoring rate suggests a potential for fewer goals, but Worthing's offensive strength likely drives a higher-scoring game with both teams possibly scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWorthing to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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Worthing Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 54.2% for Worthing to Win sits against roughly 39.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Worthing have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 3 for Kidderminster Harriers.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kidderminster Harriers

DDLLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Carlisle0-0
03 Oct 2026H Sutton Utd1-1
29 Sep 2026A Boreham Wood1-3
26 Sep 2026H Yeovil Town0-1
19 Sep 2026A Woking0-0

Worthing

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
10 Oct 2026H Solihull Moors5-0
03 Oct 2026A Gateshead2-1
29 Sep 2026A Yeovil Town1-1
26 Sep 2026H FC Halifax Town2-1
19 Sep 2026A Hartlepool3-1
Market aligned with main pickWorthing to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Worthing Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Worthing's recent form is strong, accumulating 13 points with a high goal-scoring rate, contrasting sharply with Kidderminster's 3 points and low scoring output. This form disparity highlights Worthing's momentum and , reinforcing their status as favorites to win this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Kidderminster Harriers Over 2.5
80%Worthing Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Worthing's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with an 80% rate in recent games. This suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities, contrasting with Kidderminster's more defensive posture and lower scoring frequency.

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