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Wisla Krakow crestWisla Krakow
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Raków Częstochowa crestRaków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa | Sat 24 Oct, 19:15

Wisla Krakow v Raków Częstochowa Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 19:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wisla Krakow hosts Raków Częstochowa in an Ekstraklasa clash where both teams bring contrasting styles and recent form. Wisla Krakow ranks 6th with a solid defensive record, while Raków struggles near the bottom at 18th, conceding more goals. Raków's attacking approach generates high shot volumes, indicating an aggressive style that could lead to sustained pressure and multiple corner opportunities. Wisla Krakow's home form and tactical discipline suggest a competitive match with frequent set-piece situations, setting the stage for a corner-heavy encounter under the floodlights.

BT4Y match pick

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Wisla Krakow averages 6.2 corners per game, Raków 5.6, combining for over 11 corners on average.
  • Both teams generate high shot volumes: Wisla Krakow 21.4, Raków 19.2 shots per match.
  • Raków’s aggressive attacking style and Wisla’s defensive resilience create frequent corner scenarios.
  • Recent matches show a corner count above 9.5 in most games involving these teams.
  • Model projects a 63.3% chance for over 9.5 corners, slightly above the market implied chance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 63.3% probability, supported by both teams’ average corner stats and attacking tendencies. Wisla Krakow’s 6.2 and Raków’s 5.6 corners per game reflect sustained pressure and territorial battles. Raków’s high shot volume and Wisla’s defensive solidity suggest multiple forced clearances leading to corners. The price offers a small positive edge, making this a solid pick without major price sensitivity. Player-level data showing active attackers and midfielders further supports frequent attacking phases generating corners.

Combined average corners~11.8 per game
Strong positive
Shot volume40.6 combined shots per game
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied chance61.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (-0.5 pts)
Positive
Team defensive styleWisla’s defensive solidity leads to forced corners
Positive
Price sensitivity61.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (-0.5 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent attacking exchanges and territorial battles leading to numerous corners. Wisla Krakow’s home defensive structure combined with Raków Częstochowa’s persistent offensive efforts should generate enough set-piece situations to surpass 9.5 corners. The statistical corner averages and shot volumes reinforce this tactical outlook, making Over 9.5 Corners a well-supported choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“The corner market stands out here due to both teams’ attacking intent and defensive resilience, which typically results in repeated pressure and forced clearances. This match’s statistical profile strongly suggests a corner count comfortably exceeding nine and a half.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Wisla Krakow averages 6.2 corners per game, Raków 5.6, combining for over 11 corners on average.

Both teams generate high shot volumes: Wisla Krakow 21.4, Raków 19.2 shots per match.

Raków’s aggressive attacking style and Wisla’s defensive resilience create frequent corner scenarios.

Recent matches show a corner count above 9.5 in most games involving these teams.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.57, indicating moderately open games.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests a tempo that can generate multiple attacking phases and transitions.
  • Such dynamics typically lead to increased corner counts, especially with Raków’s aggressive style and Wisla’s defensive solidity forcing clearances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wisla Krakow1
Avg goals scored
Raków Częstochowa1.8
Wisla Krakow0.8
Avg goals conceded
Raków Częstochowa2.4
Wisla Krakow40%
BTTS rate
Raków Częstochowa100%
Wisla Krakow20%
Over 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
While goals and BTTS rates differ—Wisla Krakow averaging fewer goals and Raków showing more attacking output—the focus on corners aligns with their attacking patterns. Raków’s 100% BTTS rate and Wisla’s defensive solidity suggest open play with multiple attacking phases, increasing corner opportunities even if goals remain modest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Wisla Krakow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Raków Częstochowa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Wisla Krakow to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Raków Częstochowa to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The 61.2% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (-0.5 pts). Wisla Krakow lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Raków Częstochowa lower at 5.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wisla Krakow

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
16 Oct 2026A Widzew Łódź0-0
11 Oct 2026A Legia Warszawa0-2
18 Sep 2026H Slask Wroclaw2-1
11 Sep 2026H Jagiellonia2-0
05 Sep 2026A Korona Kielce1-1

Raków Częstochowa

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 8L
16 Oct 2026A Wieczysta Kraków2-1
09 Oct 2026H GKS Katowice1-4
19 Sep 2026A Korona Kielce2-3
15 Sep 2026H Zaglebie Lubin2-3
11 Sep 2026H Motor Lublin2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 82% · edge -1.8 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Wisla Krakow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Raków Częstochowa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Wisla Krakow to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Raków Częstochowa to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form shows Wisla Krakow with 8 points and Raków with 6, with Wisla conceding fewer goals but both teams showing attacking intent. Wisla’s 20% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Raków’s 100%, indicating Raków’s matches often feature open play and attacking pressure conducive to corners. The corner count trend aligns with these attacking dynamics, supporting the Over 9.5 Corners pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Wisla Krakow Over 2.5
100%Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5
2.57H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.57, indicating moderately open games. While this trend focuses on goals, it suggests a tempo that can generate multiple attacking phases and transitions. Such dynamics typically lead to increased corner counts, especially with Raków’s aggressive style and Wisla’s defensive solidity forcing clearances.

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