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KVC Westerlo crestKVC Westerlo
v
SK Beveren crestSK Beveren

Jupiler Pro League | Sat 24 Oct, 19:45

KVC Westerlo v SK Beveren Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KVC Westerlo hosts SK Beveren in a Jupiler Pro League clash where Westerlo's recent form and attacking prowess set the tone. Westerlo has accumulated 13 points with a strong goal-scoring rate, while Beveren sits lower with 9 points and a less potent offense. Westerlo's ability to create chances and maintain defensive solidity contrasts with Beveren's struggles to score consistently. This fixture presents Westerlo with a clear opportunity to capitalize on home advantage and recent momentum against a side that has yet to find consistent form this season.

BT4Y best bet

KVC Westerlo to Win

  • Westerlo holds a 74% to win, with a 22.7% at 1.95 .
  • Westerlo averages 3.4 goals scored per match, significantly higher than Beveren's 1.2.
  • Westerlo's recent form includes 13 points and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate.
  • Top attackers like N. Storm provide strong goal threat and shot volume for Westerlo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors KVC Westerlo to win due to their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and defensive stability. Westerlo's average of 3.4 goals scored per game and 16 shots per match, including 6.8 on target, contrasts sharply with Beveren's lower offensive output. The home side's 74% win probability reflects these statistical advantages and the value at current of 1.95. The depth of attacking options, including prolific shooters like N. Storm, further supports this selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormWesterlo 13 points vs Beveren 6 points
Strong positive
Goal ScoringWesterlo 3.4 goals/game vs Beveren 1.2
Strong positive
Shots & On TargetWesterlo 16 shots, 6.8 on target vs Beveren 10 shots, 2.25 on target
Strong positive
Value Edge66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

KVC Westerlo's attacking firepower and recent form make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to generate high-quality chances, combined with Beveren's inconsistent scoring record, suggests a tactical and statistical edge for Westerlo in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Westerlo's dynamic frontline, led by players like Bassette and Storm, creates sustained pressure that should overwhelm Beveren's defense. Their balanced approach and home advantage position them well to claim all three points.”

Key Data Signals

KVC Westerlo to Win evidence

Westerlo holds a 74% to win, with a 22.7% at 1.95 .

Westerlo averages 3.4 goals scored per match, significantly higher than Beveren's 1.2.

Westerlo's recent form includes 13 points and an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate.

Top attackers like N. Storm provide strong goal threat and shot volume for Westerlo.

What To Watch In The Data

KVC Westerlo to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Westerlo's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches suggests a continuation of open, attacking play in this encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

KVC Westerlo3.4
Avg goals scored
SK Beveren1.2
KVC Westerlo1
Avg goals conceded
SK Beveren1.6
KVC Westerlo60%
BTTS rate
SK Beveren20%
KVC Westerlo80%
Over 2.5 goals
SK Beveren60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 87% vs implied 88% · edge -1 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Westerlo's high scoring average of 3.4 goals per game and 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate suggest an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. Beveren's lower BTTS rate of 20% indicates they often fail to score, which may limit total goals but does not negate Westerlo's strong offensive threat.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKVC Westerlo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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KVC Westerlo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 66.3% for KVC Westerlo to Win sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). KVC Westerlo have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for SK Beveren.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

KVC Westerlo

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
11 Oct 2026H Antwerp5-1
20 Sep 2026A St. Truiden2-0
12 Sep 2026H Standard Liege4-2
05 Sep 2026A KV Mechelen4-0
30 Aug 2026H Zulte Waregem2-2

SK Beveren

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 5L
09 Oct 2026H Lommel United1-3
20 Sep 2026A Kortrijk0-1
12 Sep 2026H St. Truiden2-0
06 Sep 2026H OH Leuven3-0
28 Aug 2026A Genk0-4
Market aligned with main pickKVC Westerlo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
KVC Westerlo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Westerlo's recent accumulation of 13 points and strong goal-scoring form contrasts with Beveren's 6 points and less effective offense. This momentum and advantage favor Westerlo to control the match and secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%KVC Westerlo Over 2.5
60%SK Beveren Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Westerlo's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches suggests a continuation of open, attacking play in this encounter.

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