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Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF
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Orgryte IS crestOrgryte IS

Allsvenskan | Sat 24 Oct, 16:30

Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 19:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF visit Orgryte IS at Gamla Ullevi with strong attacking momentum, having scored 26 goals in 11 league matches and secured consecutive wins. Orgryte, newly promoted and struggling defensively with 31 goals conceded in 12 matches, recently ended a long winless streak with a thrilling 4-3 victory, showcasing their attacking potential but defensive vulnerabilities. Djurgardens' ability to control possession and create multiple scoring opportunities contrasts with Orgryte's need to balance defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. This clash pits Djurgardens' disciplined, multi-channel attack against Orgryte's unpredictable but potent offense, setting the stage for an open, high-pressure contest.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Djurgardens IF to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 48% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Djurgardens have scored 26 goals in 11 league matches, averaging 2.5 goals per game recently.
  • Orgryte have conceded 31 goals in 12 matches, allowing opponents an average of 6.2 shots on target per game.
  • Orgryte's recent 4-3 win showed their attacking threat despite defensive frailties.
  • Djurgardens average 57% possession and 6.3 shots on target per game, indicating strong territorial control.
Price warning

Djurgardens IF to Win & Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 48% (-12.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +14.3 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

Djurgardens IF's potent attack, averaging 2.5 goals per game, faces an Orgryte defense that concedes heavily, creating a strong case for an away win with both teams scoring. Orgryte's recent high-scoring matches and ability to capitalize on defensive errors support the likelihood of them scoring despite their struggles. However, the current are shorter than the model's estimated chance, suggesting a price-sensitive selection. Reduced staking or waiting for better is advisable until line-ups or late data improve the value proposition.

Djurgardens attacking strength2.5 goals per game average
Strong positive
Orgryte defensive weakness31 goals conceded in 12 matches
Strong positive
Orgryte attacking potentialRecent 4-3 win with 4 goals scored
Positive
Price sensitivity48% model chance vs 60.6% implied (-12.6 pts)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Djurgardens IF's consistent attacking form and territorial control make them strong favorites to win, while Orgryte's recent offensive display suggests they will find the net despite defensive issues. This combination points to a competitive match with goals at both ends, reflecting the tactical battle between Djurgardens' control and Orgryte's opportunism.

Main risk

Orgryte’s possible three-man central defence may provide extra protection against Lien, but it could also create pressure in wider areas.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking dynamics

“Djurgardens' multi-faceted attack and midfield control position them well to break down Orgryte's fragile defense, while Orgryte's recent goal-scoring resurgence ensures this won't be a one-sided affair.”

Key Data Signals

Djurgardens IF to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Djurgardens have scored 26 goals in 11 league matches, averaging 2.5 goals per game recently.

Orgryte have conceded 31 goals in 12 matches, allowing opponents an average of 6.2 shots on target per game.

Orgryte's recent 4-3 win showed their attacking threat despite defensive frailties.

Djurgardens average 57% possession and 6.3 shots on target per game, indicating strong territorial control.

What To Watch In The Data

Djurgardens IF to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Orgryte have an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Djurgardens have a 20% rate, indicating Orgryte's matches tend to be higher scoring.
  • The teams' combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a match with a lively tempo and multiple goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the potential for over 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Djurgardens IF1.4
Avg goals scored
Orgryte IS1.4
Djurgardens IF0.4
Avg goals conceded
Orgryte IS2.4
Djurgardens IF20%
BTTS rate
Orgryte IS80%
Djurgardens IF20%
Over 2.5 goals
Orgryte IS80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have shown scoring ability recently: Djurgardens average 2.5 goals per game, while Orgryte have scored in four of their last five matches and netted four goals in their latest game. Orgryte's defensive frailty, conceding an average of three goals per match, supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDjurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 86% · edge -11.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The 48% for Djurgardens IF to Win & Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 60.6% implied by the current price (-12.6 pts). Djurgardens IF need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Djurgardens IF on 12 and Orgryte IS on 4. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Djurgardens' average 2.5 goals per game and Orgryte's defensive concessions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Djurgardens IF

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
16 Oct 2026A IF Brommapojkarna2-0
11 Oct 2026A Hammarby FF1-0
20 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
14 Sep 2026H Gais2-0
07 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF1-0

Orgryte IS

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
18 Oct 2026H Gais4-2
11 Oct 2026A BK Hacken0-3
19 Sep 2026H Sirius1-2
13 Sep 2026A Malmo FF1-4
06 Sep 2026H Hammarby FF1-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 86% vs implied 96% · edge -10.2 pts
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
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Djurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Djurgardens have accumulated 12 points recently with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game and scoring 1.4, reflecting consistent form and control. Orgryte's recent form is less stable, earning 4 points with a higher goals against average of 2.4 per game, but their 80% BTTS rate indicates they frequently score and concede, supporting an open contest.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
80%Orgryte IS Over 2.5
0H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Orgryte have an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Djurgardens have a 20% rate, indicating Orgryte's matches tend to be higher scoring. The teams' combined attacking and defensive profiles suggest a match with a lively tempo and multiple goal-scoring opportunities, supporting the potential for over 2.5 goals.

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