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Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
v
Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga | Fri 08 May, 19:30

Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt Stats

Data last updated: Sat 04 Jul 2026, 03:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Dortmund face Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga on Fri 08 May, 19:30. Home Dominance: League Wins at Signal Iduna Park Dortmund are formidable at home with twelve wins this season. With Frankfurt recently losing 2-1 to Hamburg, a repeat of that scoreline in Dortmund's favour fits the tactical narrative.

BT4Y best bet

Borussia Dortmund Win

  • At 7/1, Borussia Dortmund Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Dortmund have scored more than once in seven of their last eight home games.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Borussia Dortmund Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Borussia Dortmund sit 2 in the table, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Borussia Dortmund Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Dortmund have scored more than once in seven of their last eight home games.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Dortmund have scored more than once in seven of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Borussia Dortmund Win is the preferred angle because dortmund have scored more than once in seven of their last eight home games. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Europe remains within reach, but the margin for error has vanished.

Main risk

Europe remains within reach, but the margin for error has vanished.

Key Data Signals

Borussia Dortmund Win evidence

Dortmund have scored more than once in seven of their last eight home games.

Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Borussia Dortmund Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Borussia Dortmund sit 2 in the table, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Borussia Dortmund Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Borussia Dortmund3.2
    Avg corners for
    Eintracht Frankfurt7
    Borussia Dortmund6.2
    Avg total corners
    Eintracht Frankfurt12.2
    Borussia Dortmund2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Eintracht Frankfurt2
    Borussia Dortmund10
    Avg shots
    Eintracht Frankfurt14.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 46% · edge +21.1 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 51%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Borussia Dortmund1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.4
    Borussia Dortmund0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.8
    Borussia Dortmund20%
    BTTS rate
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    Borussia Dortmund40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Eintracht Frankfurt80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 20% for Borussia Dortmund and 100% for Eintracht Frankfurt, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 67% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Borussia Dortmund to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Borussia Dortmund

    LWLLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 4L
    03 May 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach0-1
    26 Apr 2026H SC Freiburg4-0
    18 Apr 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
    11 Apr 2026H Bayer Leverkusen0-1
    04 Apr 2026A VfB Stuttgart2-0

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    LDLWD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    02 May 2026H Hamburger SV1-2
    25 Apr 2026A FC Augsburg1-1
    18 Apr 2026H RB Leipzig1-3
    11 Apr 2026A VfL Wolfsburg2-1
    05 Apr 2026H 1. FC Köln2-2
    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 67% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Borussia Dortmund wins
    3Draws
    1Eintracht Frankfurt wins
    09 Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund3-3
    28 Oct 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund1-1
    17 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund2-0
    24 Aug 2024Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt2-0
    17 Mar 2024Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt3-1
    29 Oct 2023Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund3-3
    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 67% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Borussia Dortmund to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    Borussia Dortmund34
    Played
    Eintracht Frankfurt34
    Borussia Dortmund2.1
    Avg goals for
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.8
    Borussia Dortmund1
    Avg goals against
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.9
    Borussia Dortmund15
    Clean sheets
    Eintracht Frankfurt7
    Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 67% · edge -14.5 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Season data supports Borussia Dortmund to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Borussia Dortmund7334227536
    8Eintracht Frankfurt4434111112-4
    Borussia Dortmund sit in position 2, while Eintracht Frankfurt sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Borussia Dortmund Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
    80%Eintracht Frankfurt Over 2.5
    4.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Dortmund sit at 40% and Eintracht Frankfurt sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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