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Las Palmas crestLas Palmas
v
Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad II

Segunda División | Sat 24 Oct, 17:30

Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II meet in a Segunda División clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Las Palmas have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Real Sociedad II have allowed 3 goals per match. Both teams have similar attacking output, scoring around 1.2 goals per game, and their recent matches have frequently featured goals at both ends. This fixture promises an open contest with offensive players likely to find opportunities, making goal-scoring from both sides a realistic prospect.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Las Palmas concede 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Real Sociedad II concede 3 goals per game, showing defensive weaknesses.
  • Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match, reflecting attacking capability.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with goals at both ends.
  • Recent form shows Las Palmas have 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, Real Sociedad II 80%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by high BTTS rates of 80% for both sides and defensive records that suggest goals conceded are common. Las Palmas' defensive struggles combined with Real Sociedad II's attacking players like Arkaitz Mariezkurrena and Javier Soroeta, who average multiple shots per game, increase the likelihood of goals at both ends. The of 1.62 offer positive value given the model's 14.3% edge, making BTTS a compelling selection in this fixture.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Las Palmas BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Real Sociedad II BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Las Palmas Goals Against2.6 per game
Strong positive
Real Sociedad II Goals Against3 per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent alongside defensive vulnerabilities, making goals at both ends likely. Las Palmas' home form and Real Sociedad II's attacking threats suggest a lively game with scoring opportunities for both sides, supporting the BTTS selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“This fixture features two sides with leaky defenses but capable attackers, creating a strong likelihood of goals from both teams. The attacking roles of players like Mariezkurrena and Jaime underline the potential for an open, goal-filled match.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Las Palmas concede 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Real Sociedad II concede 3 goals per game, showing defensive weaknesses.

Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match, reflecting attacking capability.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5 per game, a modest figure.
  • However, recent form trends show high Over 2.5 Goals rates (100% for Las Palmas, 80% for Real Sociedad II), suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could lead to multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Las Palmas1.2
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad II1.2
Las Palmas2.6
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad II3
Las Palmas80%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad II80%
Las Palmas100%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad II80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate this season, supported by their average goals conceded (2.6 for Las Palmas, 3 for Real Sociedad II) and similar goals scored (1.2 each). This balance of attacking and defensive weaknesses creates a strong environment for goals at both ends in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Las Palmas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Real Sociedad II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Las Palmas to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Las Palmas show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad II show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Las Palmas

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
17 Oct 2026H Castellón0-3
11 Oct 2026A Mallorca1-3
04 Oct 2026H Valladolid2-2
27 Sep 2026A Eibar2-3
20 Sep 2026H Burgos1-2

Real Sociedad II

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
17 Oct 2026H Almeria2-4
10 Oct 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-4
04 Oct 2026H Granada CF2-3
26 Sep 2026A AD Ceuta FC1-3
19 Sep 2026H Mallorca0-1
Best odds for this sectionLas Palmas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 49% · edge +10.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Real Sociedad II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Las Palmas to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Real Sociedad II Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Las Palmas have recorded an 80% BTTS rate and 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, while Real Sociedad II also maintain an 80% BTTS rate. Both teams' recent matches have featured multiple goals and open play, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Las Palmas Over 2.5
80%Real Sociedad II Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5 per game, a modest figure. However, recent form trends show high Over 2.5 Goals rates (100% for Las Palmas, 80% for Real Sociedad II), suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could lead to multiple goals in this fixture.

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