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Utrecht crestUtrecht
v
AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 17:45

Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 13:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Utrecht face AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie on Sat 15 Aug, 17:45. Utrecht’s first home league match of the season arrives with an awkward contrast attached to it. A 2-1 win for FC Utrecht fits their six-game home winning streak and AZ’s ongoing away difficulties.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 40/85, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical.
  • Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Neutral
Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show.Visible data support
Positive
Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical choice. Utrecht show a that shared-scoring rate rate and AZ Alkmaar show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The ADO game was not quite as comfortable as the scoreline implies, however.

Main risk

The ADO game was not quite as comfortable as the scoreline implies, however.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both.

Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Utrecht1
Avg goals scored
AZ Alkmaar2
Utrecht2
Avg goals conceded
AZ Alkmaar0
Utrecht100%
BTTS rate
AZ Alkmaar0%
Utrecht100%
Over 2.5 goals
AZ Alkmaar0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Utrecht and 0% for AZ Alkmaar, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Utrecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Utrecht

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Groningen1-2

AZ Alkmaar

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 71% · edge -3.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Utrecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Utrecht Over 2.5
0%AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Utrecht sit at 100% and AZ Alkmaar sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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