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Utrecht crestUtrecht
v
AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 17:45

Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 16:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Utrecht face AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie on Sat 15 Aug, 17:45. Utrecht’s first home league match of the season arrives with an awkward contrast attached to it. A 2-1 win for FC Utrecht fits their six-game home winning streak and AZ’s ongoing away difficulties.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 40/85, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical.
  • Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Neutral
Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show.Visible data support
Positive
Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both Teams To Score YES a logical choice. Utrecht show a that shared-scoring rate rate and AZ Alkmaar show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The ADO game was not quite as comfortable as the scoreline implies, however.

Main risk

The ADO game was not quite as comfortable as the scoreline implies, however.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Despite defensive absences for Utrecht and AZ’s away struggles, both teams have clear routes to scoring, making Both.

Utrecht show a 100% BTTS rate and AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Utrecht average 1 goals scored and AZ Alkmaar average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Utrecht1
Avg goals scored
AZ Alkmaar2
Utrecht2
Avg goals conceded
AZ Alkmaar0
Utrecht100%
BTTS rate
AZ Alkmaar0%
Utrecht100%
Over 2.5 goals
AZ Alkmaar0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.5
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Utrecht and 0% for AZ Alkmaar, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Utrecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Utrecht1
Avg corners for
AZ Alkmaar9
Utrecht6
Avg total corners
AZ Alkmaar16
Utrecht2
Avg yellow cards
AZ Alkmaar0
Utrecht14
Avg shots
AZ Alkmaar12
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 60% · edge -2.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Utrecht

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
09 Aug 2026A Groningen1-2

AZ Alkmaar

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
08 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Utrecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Utrecht wins
5Draws
2AZ Alkmaar wins
01 Mar 2026Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar2-0
26 Oct 2025AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht4-1
18 Jan 2025Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar0-0
29 Sep 2024AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht1-2
19 May 2024AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht3-3
03 Dec 2023Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Utrecht4
Played
AZ Alkmaar5
Utrecht1.5
Avg goals for
AZ Alkmaar3.2
Utrecht3.8
Avg goals against
AZ Alkmaar1
Utrecht0
Clean sheets
AZ Alkmaar2
Best odds for this sectionAZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Load more odds for this section
AZ Alkmaar to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Utrecht Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season data supports AZ Alkmaar Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1AZ Alkmaar15550011
15Utrecht14013-9
Utrecht sit in position 15, while AZ Alkmaar sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Utrecht Over 2.5
0%AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Utrecht sit at 100% and AZ Alkmaar sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.