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Portugal crestPortugal
v
Chile crestChile

Friendlies | Sat 06 Jun, 18:45

Portugal v Chile Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 13:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Portugal face Chile in Friendlies on Sat 06 Jun, 18:45. Portugal meet Chile in Lisbon on Saturday in an international friendly that feels far more revealing than the fixture label suggests. Chile’s recent form line, DWWWWL, looks respectable at first glance, but the latest result carries weight.

BT4Y best bet

Portugal Win

  • At 3/1, Portugal Win implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • With Chile failing to score in eight of their last ten away matches, the numbers point towards a controlled goal landscape.
  • Portugal have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Chile.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Portugal Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Portugal have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Chile. With Chile failing to score in eight of their last ten away matches, the numbers point towards a controlled goal landscape.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Portugal have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
With Chile failing to score in eight of their.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Portugal Win is the preferred angle because with Chile failing to score in eight of their last ten away matches, the numbers point towards a controlled goal landscape. Portugal have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Chile. Fernandes brings creative risk.

Main risk

Fernandes brings creative risk.

Key Data Signals

Portugal Win evidence

With Chile failing to score in eight of their last ten away matches, the numbers point towards a.

Portugal have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Chile.

What To Watch In The Data

Portugal Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPortugal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 85% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Portugal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Portugal to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Portugal1
    Avg goals scored
    Chile-
    Portugal0
    Avg goals conceded
    Chile-
    Portugal0%
    BTTS rate
    Chile-
    Portugal0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Chile-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 37% · edge +29 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Portugal

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    01 Apr 2026A USA2-0
    29 Mar 2026A Mexico0-0

    Chile

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Chile yet.

    Market aligned with main pickPortugal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 85% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Portugal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Portugal3.5
    Avg corners for
    Chile-
    Portugal4
    Avg total corners
    Chile-
    Portugal1
    Avg yellow cards
    Chile-
    Portugal6.5
    Avg shots
    Chile-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 58% · edge -22.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Portugal wins
    1Draws
    0Chile wins
    28 Jun 2017Portugal v Chile0-0
    Market aligned with main pickPortugal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 85% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Portugal to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Portugal4
    Played
    Chile2
    Portugal1.5
    Avg goals for
    Chile1.5
    Portugal0.5
    Avg goals against
    Chile1.5
    Portugal2
    Clean sheets
    Chile0
    Market aligned with main pickPortugal to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 85% · edge -17.3 pts
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Load more odds for this section
    Portugal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Season data supports Portugal to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Portugal Over 2.5
    -Chile Over 2.5
    0H2H avg goals
    With Chile failing to score in eight of their last ten away matches, the numbers point towards a controlled goal landscape.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Portugal v Chile prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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