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Tigre crestTigre
v
Sarmiento Junin crestSarmiento Junin

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 07 Nov, 01:00

Tigre v Sarmiento Junin Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tigre face Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat 07 Nov, 01:00. Tigre come in with 4 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Sarmiento Junin have 5 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.91, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • Tigre lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Sarmiento Junin lower at 3.2.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Tigre average 15.6 and Sarmiento Junin average 10.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Tigre lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Sarmiento Junin lower at 3.2.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Tigre lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tigre lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Sarmiento Junin lower at 3.2. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Tigre lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Sarmiento Junin lower at 3.2.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Tigre average 15.6 and Sarmiento Junin average 10.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tigre1.2
Avg goals scored
Sarmiento Junin1.2
Tigre1.4
Avg goals conceded
Sarmiento Junin1.4
Tigre60%
BTTS rate
Sarmiento Junin80%
Tigre60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sarmiento Junin40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Sarmiento Junin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Sarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Tigre to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Tigre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tigre

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
30 Oct 2026A Huracan2-0
24 Oct 2026H Atletico Tucuman0-1
17 Oct 2026A Independ. Rivadavia2-2
10 Oct 2026H Banfield1-2
04 Oct 2026A Argentinos JRS1-2

Sarmiento Junin

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026H Rosario Central1-2
23 Oct 2026A Gimnasia L.P.0-2
19 Oct 2026H Barracas Central1-1
14 Oct 2026H River Plate1-1
09 Oct 2026A Aldosivi3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Sarmiento Junin Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Sarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Tigre to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Tigre Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Tigre Over 2.5
40%Sarmiento Junin Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tigre sit at 60% and Sarmiento Junin sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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