Football Stats Hub

Wrexham crestWrexham
v
Wolves crestWolves

Championship | Sat 07 Nov, 12:30

Wrexham v Wolves Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 09:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wrexham face Wolves in Championship on Sat 07 Nov, 12:30. Wrexham come in with 6 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Wolves have 13 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Wolves to Win

  • At 2.2, Wolves to Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Wrexham.
  • Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Wolves to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Wrexham sit 16 in the table, while Wolves sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Wolves to Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Wrexham.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Wolves Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Wrexham. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Wolves to Win evidence

Wolves have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for Wrexham.

Wolves have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Wolves Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Wrexham sit 16 in the table, while Wolves sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Wolves to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Wrexham1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Wolves1.8
    Wrexham1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Wolves0.6
    Wrexham40%
    BTTS rate
    Wolves60%
    Wrexham40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Wolves60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Wolves Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 64%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Wolves to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Wrexham

    WLLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    04 Nov 2026H Middlesbrough2-0
    30 Oct 2026A Sheffield Utd0-1
    24 Oct 2026A Blackburn0-2
    17 Oct 2026H Preston4-1
    13 Oct 2026H West Brom1-2

    Wolves

    WWWDW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    04 Nov 2026A Bristol City2-1
    31 Oct 2026H Cardiff3-0
    24 Oct 2026H Watford1-0
    20 Oct 2026H Portsmouth1-1
    16 Oct 2026A Burnley2-1
    Market aligned with main pickWolves to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Wolves Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Wrexham Over 2.5
    60%Wolves Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wrexham sit at 40% and Wolves sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…