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Necaxa crestNecaxa
v
Club Tijuana crestClub Tijuana

Liga MX | Sat 07 Nov, 01:00

Necaxa v Club Tijuana Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Necaxa face Club Tijuana in Liga MX on Sat 07 Nov, 01:00. Necaxa come in with 2 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Club Tijuana have 7 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Club Tijuana to Win

  • At 2.7, Club Tijuana to Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Club Tijuana have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Necaxa.
  • Club Tijuana have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Club Tijuana to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Necaxa sit 17 in the table, while Club Tijuana sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Club Tijuana to Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Club Tijuana have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Necaxa.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
Club Tijuana have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Club Tijuana have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Club Tijuana Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Club Tijuana have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Necaxa. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Club Tijuana to Win evidence

Club Tijuana have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Necaxa.

Club Tijuana have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Club Tijuana Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Necaxa sit 17 in the table, while Club Tijuana sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Club Tijuana to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Necaxa0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Club Tijuana2
    Necaxa1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Club Tijuana1.4
    Necaxa40%
    BTTS rate
    Club Tijuana80%
    Necaxa20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Club Tijuana60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +11.6 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
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    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickClub Tijuana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Club Tijuana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 70%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Club Tijuana to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Necaxa

    LDLLD
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 3D 7L
    01 Nov 2026A Santos Laguna0-1
    24 Oct 2026H FC Juarez1-1
    21 Oct 2026A Guadalajara Chivas0-1
    17 Oct 2026H Atlas0-2
    12 Oct 2026A CF Pachuca3-3

    Club Tijuana

    DDWDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 6D 2L
    01 Nov 2026A Monterrey3-3
    29 Oct 2026A Club America1-1
    26 Oct 2026H Santos Laguna4-1
    22 Oct 2026A Toluca2-2
    17 Oct 2026H Puebla0-0
    Market aligned with main pickClub Tijuana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Club Tijuana Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Necaxa Over 2.5
    60%Club Tijuana Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Necaxa sit at 20% and Club Tijuana sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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