Football Stats Hub

Leeds crestLeeds
v
Tottenham crestTottenham

Premier League | Sat 07 Nov, 12:30

Leeds v Tottenham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 06:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Leeds face Tottenham in Premier League on Sat 07 Nov, 12:30. Three straight wins: Tottenham have scored seven goals and conceded just once across their latest three Premier League victories. Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur Preview: Resurgent Spurs Target Fourth Straight Win at Elland Road.

BT4Y best bet

Tottenham Hotspur to Win

  • At 11/10, Tottenham Hotspur to Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • The striker has scored seven goals in his last seven home appearances but faces a fitness assessment after experiencing a foot problem.
  • Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Leeds.
  • Leeds have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Tottenham Hotspur to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Leeds sit 12 in the table, while Tottenham sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Tottenham Hotspur to Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Leeds. The striker has scored seven goals in his last seven home appearances but faces a fitness assessment after experiencing a foot problem.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Leeds have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
The striker has scored seven goals in his last.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Tottenham Win is the preferred angle because the striker has scored seven goals in his last seven home appearances but faces a fitness assessment after experiencing a foot problem. Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Leeds. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Tottenham Hotspur to Win evidence

The striker has scored seven goals in his last seven home appearances but faces a fitness assessment after.

Tottenham have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Leeds.

Leeds have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Tottenham Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Leeds sit 12 in the table, while Tottenham sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Tottenham Hotspur to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Leeds0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Tottenham2
    Leeds1
    Avg goals conceded
    Tottenham1
    Leeds40%
    BTTS rate
    Tottenham60%
    Leeds20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Tottenham40%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Leeds

    LDDLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 5D 2L
    31 Oct 2026A Bournemouth0-2
    25 Oct 2026A Sunderland0-0
    18 Oct 2026H Manchester United1-1
    10 Oct 2026A Arsenal1-2
    20 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace0-0

    Tottenham

    WWWDL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 3L
    31 Oct 2026H Crystal Palace2-0
    24 Oct 2026A Chelsea2-0
    19 Oct 2026H Coventry3-1
    10 Oct 2026A Manchester United1-1
    19 Sep 2026H Aston Villa2-3

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Leeds Over 2.5
    40%Tottenham Over 2.5
    3.78H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Leeds sit at 20% and Tottenham sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.78 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…