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FC ST. Gallen crestFC ST. Gallen
v
Benfica crestBenfica

UEFA Europa League | Thu 23 Jul, 19:00

FC ST. Gallen v Benfica Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 06:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gallen face Benfica in UEFA Europa League on Thu 23 Jul, 19:00. St Gallen’s strong attacking record of 72 league goals and recent matches with high goal counts contrasts with defensive struggles conceding nine goals in two warm-ups.

BT4Y best bet

Kick or corner as an opportunity to apply pressure and involve the home crowd

  • At 6.5, Kick or corner as an opportunity to apply pressure and involve the home crowd implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • St Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their last two produced nine goals conceded.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 16% for Kick or corner as an opportunity to apply pressure and involve the home crowd sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price. St Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their last two produced nine goals conceded.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Neutral
St Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +1 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FC ST. Gallen Win is the preferred angle because st Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their last two produced nine goals conceded. Their continental record, however, offers a reminder of the scale of the challenge.

Main risk

Their continental record, however, offers a reminder of the scale of the challenge.

Key Data Signals

Kick or corner as an opportunity to apply pressure and involve the home crowd evidence

St Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their last two produced nine goals conceded.

What To Watch In The Data

Kick or corner as an opportunity to apply pressure and involve the home crowd notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 16% vs implied 15% · edge +1 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Gallen to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC ST. Gallen-
    Avg goals scored
    Benfica-
    FC ST. Gallen-
    Avg goals conceded
    Benfica-
    FC ST. Gallen-
    BTTS rate
    Benfica-
    FC ST. Gallen-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Benfica-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 43% · edge +11.4 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC ST. Gallen

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for FC ST. Gallen yet.

    Benfica

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Benfica yet.

    Market aligned with main pickFC ST. Gallen to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 16% vs implied 15% · edge +1 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    FC ST. Gallen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -FC ST. Gallen Over 2.5
    -Benfica Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    St Gallen have played more summer fixtures, though their last two produced nine goals conceded.

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