Football Stats Hub

Start crestStart
v
Sandefjord crestSandefjord

Eliteserien | Sun 25 Oct, 16:00

Start v Sandefjord Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 00:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eliteserien clash features Sandefjord visiting Start, with Sandefjord holding a mid-table position and a recent form edge. Sandefjord have shown more defensive solidity and slightly better goal production, while Start struggles near the bottom with a leaky defense. Sandefjord's tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and quick transitions, aiming to exploit Start's defensive vulnerabilities. The fixture carries importance for Sandefjord to consolidate their league standing, while Start faces pressure to avoid relegation, adding intensity but uncertainty to the contest.

BT4Y best bet

Sandefjord to Win

  • Sandefjord has a 60.5% to win, with strong value at 3.1 .
  • Start concedes an average of 3 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Sandefjord averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.4, showing balanced performance.
  • Sandefjord's recent form yields 5 points versus Start's 3, suggesting momentum advantage.
  • Sandefjord's key midfielder M. Sauer contributes significantly to goal threat and chance creation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sandefjord to win due to their superior defensive record and more efficient attack compared to Start, who concede heavily. Sandefjord's recent form and player-level data, including M. Sauer's goal and assist contributions, reinforce their winning potential. The offer positive value, reflecting a market underestimation of Sandefjord's chances. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, supporting a confident selection.

Model Win Probability60.5% chance for Sandefjord
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance47.3% model chance vs 32.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Defensive StabilitySandefjord concedes 1.4 goals vs Start's 3.0
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsSandefjord 5 vs Start 3
Positive
Key Player ImpactM. Sauer with 1.27 goals and assists per 90
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sandefjord's more balanced defense and sharper attack, highlighted by M. Sauer's influence, give them a tactical and statistical edge over Start. Their recent form and ability to capitalize on Start's defensive weaknesses make them the favored side to secure victory in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Sandefjord's tactical and player strengths

“Sandefjord's combination of defensive discipline and creative midfield play, especially from M. Sauer, positions them well to overcome Start's defensive vulnerabilities and claim a valuable away win.”

Key Data Signals

Sandefjord to Win evidence

Sandefjord has a 60.5% to win, with strong value at 3.1 .

Start concedes an average of 3 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Sandefjord averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 1.4, showing balanced performance.

Sandefjord's recent form yields 5 points versus Start's 3, suggesting momentum advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Sandefjord to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3, suggesting a moderately open fixture with scoring chances.
  • This trend supports a match tempo where both teams can find opportunities, driven by Start's defensive lapses and Sandefjord's balanced attack, pointing to a lively contest with goal potential.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Start1
Avg goals scored
Sandefjord1.4
Start3
Avg goals conceded
Sandefjord1.4
Start40%
BTTS rate
Sandefjord60%
Start60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sandefjord40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Goal trends indicate a moderate scoring environment with an average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings. Sandefjord's balanced attack and defense suggest a competitive match with potential for goals, while Start's defensive struggles increase the likelihood of scoring opportunities for both sides, supporting a BTTS possibility.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Start

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
18 Oct 2026A Molde1-6
11 Oct 2026H Ham-Kam2-4
20 Sep 2026A Sandefjord0-3
13 Sep 2026H Brann2-0
04 Sep 2026A Aalesund0-2

Sandefjord

LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
18 Oct 2026H Lillestrom0-2
10 Oct 2026A Rosenborg1-1
20 Sep 2026H Start3-0
14 Sep 2026A Bodo/Glimt2-3
04 Sep 2026H Viking1-1
Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sandefjord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Sandefjord's recent form shows a slight edge with 5 points gained compared to Start's 3, reflecting better consistency and defensive improvements. Sandefjord's ability to limit goals conceded to 1.4 per game contrasts with Start's 3, underscoring the visitors' momentum and defensive organization as key factors for their winning prospects.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSandefjord to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Sandefjord Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 47.3% for Sandefjord to Win sits against roughly 32.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sandefjord have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Start.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Start Over 2.5
40%Sandefjord Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 3, suggesting a moderately open fixture with scoring chances. This trend supports a match tempo where both teams can find opportunities, driven by Start's defensive lapses and Sandefjord's balanced attack, pointing to a lively contest with goal potential.

Loading deeper match data…