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Cadiz crestCadiz
v
AD Ceuta FC crestAD Ceuta FC

Segunda División | Sun 25 Oct, 15:15

Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score goals recently. Cadiz sits 20th with 7 points, while AD Ceuta FC is just behind in 21st with 5 points, reflecting a tight relegation battle that adds urgency to their attacking efforts. Both sides have averaged over one goal scored and conceded per game in recent matches, suggesting an open contest with chances at both ends. The match promises tactical intensity as both teams seek vital points to climb the table, with offensive players likely to be key in breaking defensive lines.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, with AD Ceuta FC scoring and conceding in every recent match.
  • Cadiz averages 13.2 shots per game with 3.8 on target, indicating consistent attacking attempts.
  • AD Ceuta FC produces 19.2 shots per game and 5.2 on target, showing offensive pressure.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, reflecting open games with scoring from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating strong value in this BTTS selection. Both Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, with Cadiz averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded, and AD Ceuta FC slightly higher at 1.4 for both metrics. The attacking threat is supported by high shot volumes and on-target attempts from key forwards like Jordi Escobar and V. This combination of attacking potency and defensive frailty underpins the expectation that both sides will find the net.

Model Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance72.8% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Cadiz Goals For/Against1.2 / 1.2 per game
Positive
AD Ceuta FC Goals For/Against1.4 / 1.4 per game
Positive
Cadiz Shots On Target3.8 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC have shown attacking intent and defensive lapses in recent matches, making both teams to score a logical expectation. The data confirms that both sides create and concede chances regularly, and the presence of key attackers like Jordi Escobar and V. Kopotun increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. This BTTS pick aligns well with the tactical and form context of this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, set the stage for a match where both teams are likely to find the net. Their recent shot volumes and goal involvement from key forwards support this view.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, with AD Ceuta FC scoring and conceding in every recent match.

Cadiz averages 13.2 shots per game with 3.8 on target, indicating consistent attacking attempts.

AD Ceuta FC produces 19.2 shots per game and 5.2 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last four head-to-head encounters, the average goals per match stand at 2.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a tempo that allows for multiple goal opportunities, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline.
  • Such trends align with the expectation of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cadiz1.2
Avg goals scored
AD Ceuta FC1.4
Cadiz1.2
Avg goals conceded
AD Ceuta FC1.4
Cadiz40%
BTTS rate
AD Ceuta FC100%
Cadiz40%
Over 2.5 goals
AD Ceuta FC60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have consistently scored and conceded goals this season, with Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC averaging 1.2 and 1.4 goals for and against per game respectively. AD Ceuta FC's 100% BTTS rate in recent matches highlights their defensive frailty and offensive threat, while Cadiz's 40% BTTS rate shows occasional defensive solidity but still a propensity to concede. This blend supports a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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AD Ceuta FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
AD Ceuta FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cadiz to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Cadiz show a 40% BTTS rate and AD Ceuta FC show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cadiz

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
18 Oct 2026A Granada CF0-2
11 Oct 2026H Sporting Gijon0-1
03 Oct 2026H Leganes4-0
26 Sep 2026A Tenerife1-1
19 Sep 2026H Girona1-2

AD Ceuta FC

LLDWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
18 Oct 2026H Oviedo1-2
10 Oct 2026H Sabadell1-2
04 Oct 2026A Castellón1-1
26 Sep 2026H Real Sociedad II3-1
20 Sep 2026H Valladolid1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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AD Ceuta FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
AD Ceuta FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Cadiz to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Cadiz Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data shows Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC both scoring and conceding regularly, with Cadiz earning 4 points and AD Ceuta FC 5 points in their last matches. Cadiz's 40% BTTS rate contrasts with AD Ceuta FC's perfect 100% BTTS record recently, reflecting their openness and defensive vulnerabilities. This form trend supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cadiz Over 2.5
60%AD Ceuta FC Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head encounters, the average goals per match stand at 2.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. This sample suggests a tempo that allows for multiple goal opportunities, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline. Such trends align with the expectation of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.

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