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Celtic crestCeltic

Premiership | Sun 25 Oct, 12:00

Hibernian v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premiership clash at Easter Road pits Hibernian, fighting to secure a European spot, against Celtic, who are chasing the league title with momentum from four consecutive wins. Hibernian's resilience at home is evident, having scored in nine of their last eleven home games, while Celtic's attack is potent but their defense vulnerable, with only one clean sheet in ten matches. The match promises intensity and urgency, with Celtic aiming to maintain pressure on the leaders and Hibernian striving to keep their European hopes alive, setting the stage for an open, high-stakes encounter likely to feature goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Hibernian Asian Handicap +1

  • Celtic have won their last four league matches, showing strong attacking form.
  • Hibernian have scored in nine of their last eleven home league games, demonstrating home scoring reliability.
  • Celtic have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten league matches, indicating defensive fragility.
  • Both teams have scored in nine of Celtic's last twelve league games, highlighting frequent open contests.
  • The title race urgency for Celtic and European qualification fight for Hibernian add competitive edge to this fixture.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model rates Celtic to Win & Both Teams to Score with a 44.4% chance, reflecting Celtic's strong attacking momentum and Hibernian's consistent home scoring. Celtic's defensive vulnerabilities make a clean sheet unlikely, supporting the BTTS component. The 3.2 offer positive value against the implied 31.3% chance, making this a compelling selection. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the analysis. This pick balances Celtic's firepower and Hibernian's resilience, anticipating a competitive match with goals from both sides and a Celtic victory.

Celtic's recent formFour straight league wins with strong offense
Strong positive
Hibernian's home scoringScored in 9 of last 11 home games
Strong positive
Celtic's defensive recordOnly 1 clean sheet in 10 matches
Positive
Market price54.6% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+0.5 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Celtic's attacking prowess and momentum make them favorites to win, but their defensive vulnerabilities combined with Hibernian's home scoring reliability suggest both teams will find the net. This bet captures the tactical balance of Celtic's firepower against Hibernian's resilience, reflecting the competitive stakes and recent form of both sides.

Main risk

However, greater support from Jamie McGrath, Thibault Klidje and Owen Elding will be essential against the division's strongest defence.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and BTTS

“Celtic's relentless attack paired with Hibernian's dependable home scoring sets up a thrilling contest where both sides are likely to score, but Celtic's quality should secure the win.”

Key Data Signals

Hibernian Asian Handicap +1 evidence

Celtic have won their last four league matches, showing strong attacking form.

Hibernian have scored in nine of their last eleven home league games, demonstrating home scoring reliability.

Celtic have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten league matches, indicating defensive fragility.

Both teams have scored in nine of Celtic's last twelve league games, highlighting frequent open contests.

What To Watch In The Data

Hibernian Asian Handicap +1 notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate for both teams recently.
  • This trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Celtic's attacking style and Hibernian's home scoring consistency, aligning with expectations for an open, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hibernian0.6
Avg goals scored
Celtic2.4
Hibernian1.4
Avg goals conceded
Celtic0.6
Hibernian60%
BTTS rate
Celtic40%
Hibernian40%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown consistent scoring patterns: Celtic have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 12 league matches, while Hibernian have scored in 9 of 11 home games. This suggests an open game with goals at both ends, supported by Celtic's attacking momentum and Hibernian's home offensive reliability.

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Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hibernian

LLDLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 6L
17 Oct 2026H Falkirk1-2
10 Oct 2026A Dundee Utd0-1
19 Sep 2026H Aberdeen1-1
15 Sep 2026H Kilmarnock0-1
06 Sep 2026A ST Johnstone1-2

Celtic

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 1L
18 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian7-1
11 Oct 2026A Motherwell2-0
20 Sep 2026H Rangers0-1
09 Sep 2026A ST Johnstone1-0
05 Sep 2026A ST Mirren2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 44% · edge +3.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Hibernian to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Celtic's recent form is strong, with 12 points from their last four matches and an average of 2.4 goals scored per game, highlighting their attacking efficiency. Hibernian have struggled, earning just 1 point and scoring 0.6 goals per game in recent fixtures, reflecting their current vulnerability but still maintaining some scoring ability at home.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 22% · edge +4.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
The 54.6% for Hibernian Asian Handicap +1 sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+0.5 pts). Defensive doubts for Celtic and Hibernian's recent draw suggest a tight, competitive match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Hibernian Over 2.5
40%Celtic Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate for both teams recently. This trend suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Celtic's attacking style and Hibernian's home scoring consistency, aligning with expectations for an open, goal-rich encounter.

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