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Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie B | Sun 25 Oct, 16:15

Hellas Verona v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hellas Verona and Pisa meet in a Serie B clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. Hellas Verona sits mid-table with 8 points, while Pisa is pushing near the top with 13 points, reflecting their strong offensive form. Both teams have demonstrated a consistent ability to score and concede, with Hellas Verona averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, and Pisa matching 2.4 goals scored and conceding 1.4. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with both teams showing a 100% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals so far this season.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Hellas Verona averages 16.4 shots and 6.2 shots on target per game.
  • Pisa averages 15.4 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game.
  • Hellas Verona and Pisa both have strong attacking players with high shot volumes.
  • Recent matches show both teams scoring and conceding regularly, supporting a high-scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at 72.6% probability, well above the implied market chance of 54.1%, indicating strong value. Both teams have consistently produced high-scoring matches, with Hellas Verona and Pisa each averaging 2.4 goals scored per game and maintaining a perfect record for Over 2.5 Goals in their recent fixtures. The attacking prowess is supported by high shot volumes and shots on target, suggesting sustained offensive pressure. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further increase the likelihood of multiple goals. This combination of attacking efficiency and defensive openness underpins the confident Over 2.5 Goals prediction.

Model Probability69.1% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance69.1% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Hellas Verona Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Pisa Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Average Goals Scored per Game2.4 (both teams)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Hellas Verona and Pisa have shown strong offensive capabilities this season. The high volume of shots and goals scored by both teams suggests multiple goals are likely, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible choice. Pisa's higher league standing and consistent scoring add further to this prediction.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“This match features two sides with potent attacks and less robust defenses, setting the stage for a lively, goal-filled encounter. The statistical indicators strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the teams' offensive patterns and recent scoring trends.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Hellas Verona averages 16.4 shots and 6.2 shots on target per game.

Pisa averages 15.4 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game.

Hellas Verona and Pisa both have strong attacking players with high shot volumes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, both Hellas Verona and Pisa have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring games.
  • The average goals in their recent encounters have been well above 2.5, driven by fast tempo, offensive transitions, and defensive gaps.
  • This trend panel suggests the fixture is likely to continue the pattern of multiple goals and open play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hellas Verona2.4
Avg goals scored
Pisa2.4
Hellas Verona1.8
Avg goals conceded
Pisa1.4
Hellas Verona80%
BTTS rate
Pisa60%
Hellas Verona100%
Over 2.5 goals
Pisa100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Hellas Verona and Pisa have high goal-scoring and conceding rates, with Hellas Verona scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.8 goals per game, and Pisa scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.4. Their combined BTTS rates (80% for Hellas Verona, 60% for Pisa) and perfect Over 2.5 records suggest this match will feature multiple goals from both sides, driven by open play and offensive commitment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Pisa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Pisa to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 69.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Hellas Verona and 100% for Pisa, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hellas Verona

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
16 Oct 2026H Catanzaro2-2
11 Oct 2026A Modena2-3
20 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-1
11 Sep 2026A Benevento1-3
06 Sep 2026H Arezzo5-0

Pisa

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 2L
17 Oct 2026H Cremonese3-1
10 Oct 2026A Vicenza Virtus3-0
20 Sep 2026A Mantova2-2
11 Sep 2026H Virtus Entella1-4
06 Sep 2026A Juve Stabia3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Pisa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Pisa to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Hellas Verona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form data shows both teams have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game. Hellas Verona has earned 7 points recently while Pisa has collected 10, indicating both sides are in good attacking rhythm. This consistent scoring output supports expectations for a high-scoring encounter with multiple goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
100%Pisa Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both Hellas Verona and Pisa have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a strong trend toward high-scoring games. The average goals in their recent encounters have been well above 2.5, driven by fast tempo, offensive transitions, and defensive gaps. This trend panel suggests the fixture is likely to continue the pattern of multiple goals and open play.

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