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FC Basel 1893 crestFC Basel 1893
v
Grasshoppers crestGrasshoppers

Super League | Sun 25 Oct, 15:30

FC Basel 1893 v Grasshoppers Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Basel 1893 face Grasshoppers in a Swiss Super League clash where both teams have struggled defensively this season. Basel, positioned 7th with 13 points, have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Grasshoppers, 11th with 8 points, allow 2.8 goals on average. Grasshoppers have shown resilience on the road, collecting 4 points recently and creating more shots per game than Basel. The match promises tactical caution with both sides seeking to avoid defeat, making the away double chance a compelling option given Grasshoppers' recent form and Basel's defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Grasshoppers or Draw

  • Grasshoppers have a 72.2% for double chance (win or draw) with positive .
  • Basel concede 2.6 goals per game, Grasshoppers concede 2.8, indicating defensive frailty on both sides.
  • Grasshoppers average 14.8 shots per game, outshooting Basel's 11, showing attacking intent.
  • Basel have a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate recently, Grasshoppers 60%, suggesting open games.
  • Both teams have similar yellow card averages (2.2), indicating balanced discipline levels.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Grasshoppers or Draw with a 72.2% chance, significantly above the implied of 45.5%, indicating strong value. Grasshoppers' recent form includes 4 points gained and a higher average shot volume, reflecting offensive threat. Basel's defensive record is poor, conceding 2.6 goals per game, which supports the likelihood of Grasshoppers avoiding defeat. The positive of 26.7% and solid of 78 reinforce this pick as a smart choice. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance39.4% model chance vs 24.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance39.4% model chance vs 24.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge39.4% model chance vs 24.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence78
Strong positive
Price Warning39.4% model chance vs 24.4% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Grasshoppers or Draw is a solid pick given Basel's defensive struggles and Grasshoppers' ability to generate more shots and points recently. The away side's resilience and attacking activity suggest they can avoid defeat, making the double chance a tactically sound and data-backed choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for away double chance

“Grasshoppers have shown greater attacking intent and resilience recently, and with Basel's defensive weaknesses, the away double chance offers a compelling tactical and statistical angle in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Grasshoppers or Draw evidence

Grasshoppers have a 72.2% for double chance (win or draw) with positive .

Basel concede 2.6 goals per game, Grasshoppers concede 2.8, indicating defensive frailty on both sides.

Grasshoppers average 14.8 shots per game, outshooting Basel's 11, showing attacking intent.

Basel have a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate recently, Grasshoppers 60%, suggesting open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Grasshoppers or Draw notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Basel's recent 100% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Grasshoppers' 60%, suggesting a tempo that can produce goals but also defensive lapses.
  • This trend panel supports an open game with scoring chances for both sides, aligning with the match's attacking and defensive profiles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Basel 18931.4
Avg goals scored
Grasshoppers1.2
FC Basel 18932.6
Avg goals conceded
Grasshoppers2.8
FC Basel 189380%
BTTS rate
Grasshoppers60%
FC Basel 1893100%
Over 2.5 goals
Grasshoppers60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have shown tendencies for open games, with Basel having a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate recently and Grasshoppers 60%. Both teams concede over 2.5 goals per game on average, supporting the likelihood of goals and BTTS scenarios. This suggests a match with offensive opportunities despite defensive frailties.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Grasshoppers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Grasshoppers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
FC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 39.4% for Grasshoppers or Draw sits against roughly 24.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Basel 1893

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
11 Oct 2026A FC Vaduz0-3
20 Sep 2026H FC ST. Gallen1-3
13 Sep 2026A FC Luzern4-2
06 Sep 2026H FC Lugano1-3
03 Sep 2026H FC Sion1-2

Grasshoppers

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
11 Oct 2026H BSC Young Boys0-2
19 Sep 2026A FC Luzern1-5
15 Sep 2026H FC Sion2-5
12 Sep 2026A FC Thun1-0
05 Sep 2026H FC Zurich2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Grasshoppers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Grasshoppers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
FC Basel 1893 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
FC Basel 1893 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Grasshoppers have collected 4 points recently compared to Basel's 3, showing slightly better momentum. Basel's defense has been leaky, conceding 2.6 goals per game, while Grasshoppers concede 2.8 but compensate with higher shot creation. This recent form data supports the likelihood of Grasshoppers avoiding defeat and maintaining competitive pressure throughout the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%FC Basel 1893 Over 2.5
60%Grasshoppers Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring. Basel's recent 100% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Grasshoppers' 60%, suggesting a tempo that can produce goals but also defensive lapses. This trend panel supports an open game with scoring chances for both sides, aligning with the match's attacking and defensive profiles.

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