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Guidonia Montecelio 1937 crestGuidonia Montecelio 1937

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 25 Oct, 13:30

Torres v Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Torres and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 meet in a Serie C - Girone B clash where both sides have shown a tendency to concede and score in recent matches. Torres have struggled to find the net consistently, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while conceding one per match. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have a slightly better attacking record with 1.4 goals scored per game but also concede regularly. Both teams have recorded a high rate of matches with goals at both ends, suggesting an open contest with chances for both sides. The mid-table stakes add competitive edge without overwhelming pressure, making this a balanced encounter with potential for goals from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Torres have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.
  • Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Recent form shows Torres scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per game on average.
  • Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, supporting BTTS likelihood.
  • The head-to-head average goals per game is 1.5 across two meetings, indicating moderate scoring but with both teams contributing.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by consistent offensive output from Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and Torres' vulnerability at the back. The 20.4% over the implied of 1.8 highlights this as a positive value bet. Both teams' BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. The data quality is solid with balanced samples, supporting in this pick.

Model Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Torres BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Implied Chance from Odds70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“Given Guidonia Montecelio 1937's offensive consistency and Torres' defensive vulnerabilities, a match with goals at both ends is a realistic scenario. The BTTS market captures the balance of attacking intent and defensive exposure effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Torres have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Recent form shows Torres scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per game on average.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, supporting BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5 per game, a moderate total.
  • However, combined with recent BTTS rates and season scoring data, this suggests a trend towards matches with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS market as a reasonable expectation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Torres0.8
Avg goals scored
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.4
Torres1
Avg goals conceded
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.2
Torres60%
BTTS rate
Guidonia Montecelio 193780%
Torres20%
Over 2.5 goals
Guidonia Montecelio 193740%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown a strong tendency to be involved in matches with goals at both ends, with Torres at 60% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 80% BTTS rates. Their average goals scored and conceded per game further support an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Torres

LWDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
17 Oct 2026A Reggiana0-2
11 Oct 2026H Atalanta II2-1
04 Oct 2026A Campobasso FC1-1
26 Sep 2026H Vado0-0
19 Sep 2026A Forli1-1

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
17 Oct 2026H Forli3-2
12 Oct 2026A Pescara1-1
04 Oct 2026H Pineto1-0
27 Sep 2026A Vis Pesaro1-2
21 Sep 2026H Livorno1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 65% · edge +13.8 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Torres Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Torres to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form data shows Torres scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1 per game, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Both teams have maintained high BTTS rates recently, indicating continued offensive threat and defensive lapses that support the BTTS pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Torres Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Torres to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Torres show a 60% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Torres Over 2.5
40%Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5 per game, a moderate total. However, combined with recent BTTS rates and season scoring data, this suggests a trend towards matches with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS market as a reasonable expectation.

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