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Genk crestGenk
v
Standard Liege crestStandard Liege

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 25 Oct, 12:30

Genk v Standard Liege Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 19:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genk hosts Standard Liege in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams show contrasting styles that could influence set-piece frequency. Genk, positioned 7th, balances a solid defense with an attack that generates steady pressure, while Standard Liege, 9th, tends to concede more but also pushes forward aggressively. Recent form data reveals both sides average over 13 shots per game, indicating open play that often leads to corner opportunities. The tactical setup suggests a contest with sustained wide attacks and territorial battles, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Genk averages 3.4 corners per game, Standard Liege 7.0, combining for over 10 corners on average
  • Both teams produce around 13.6 shots per match, reflecting attacking intent and pressure
  • Standard Liege concedes more goals but maintains offensive pressure, increasing corner chances
  • Recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals, implying open play and attacking transitions
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at 1.73

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong bet with a 69% probability, well above the implied market chance of 57.8%, indicating clear value. Both teams demonstrate attacking styles that generate numerous wide plays and shots, leading to frequent corner situations. Standard Liege's higher corner average (7.0) combined with Genk's steady 3.4 corners per game supports sustained pressure and set-piece opportunities. The match tempo and shot volume suggest a dynamic game with multiple corner chances, making this bet a statistically and tactically sound choice.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Genk Avg Corners3.4 per game
Positive
Standard Liege Avg Corners7.0 per game
Strong positive
Combined Avg Shots~27 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and attacking pressure from both Genk and Standard Liege, leading to numerous corner situations. Genk's disciplined defense and Standard Liege's offensive urgency create a dynamic contest that should see the corner count exceed nine. The statistical data and tactical outlook align well, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture’s attacking patterns and territorial battles strongly favor a high number of corners, with Standard Liege’s aggressive wing play complementing Genk’s consistent delivery from wide areas.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Genk averages 3.4 corners per game, Standard Liege 7.0, combining for over 10 corners on average

Both teams produce around 13.6 shots per match, reflecting attacking intent and pressure

Standard Liege concedes more goals but maintains offensive pressure, increasing corner chances

Recent matches show a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals, implying open play and attacking transitions

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.8, indicating moderate scoring but a tempo that supports attacking transitions.
  • The trend towards Over 2.5 goals in 60% of recent games suggests open play phases that typically generate corners through crosses and defensive clearances, reinforcing the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Genk1.6
Avg goals scored
Standard Liege1.2
Genk0.8
Avg goals conceded
Standard Liege1.6
Genk20%
BTTS rate
Standard Liege60%
Genk60%
Over 2.5 goals
Standard Liege60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 43% · edge +4.4 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams show moderate goal-scoring rates but contrasting BTTS tendencies: Genk has a low BTTS rate (20%) while Standard Liege’s is higher (60%). This suggests a controlled goals environment with potential defensive solidity from Genk, which may limit open-goal exchanges but still allow for attacking plays that generate corners without necessarily high scoring.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Standard Liege Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Genk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Standard Liege to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Standard Liege lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with Genk lower at 3.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Genk

WLDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 2L
10 Oct 2026H Kortrijk3-0
20 Sep 2026A Club Brugge KV0-3
13 Sep 2026H Gent1-1
06 Sep 2026A Anderlecht0-0
28 Aug 2026H SK Beveren4-0

Standard Liege

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
11 Oct 2026H Charleroi0-1
18 Sep 2026A Gent1-2
12 Sep 2026A KVC Westerlo2-4
05 Sep 2026H Antwerp1-0
29 Aug 2026A OH Leuven2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 83% · edge +0.4 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Standard Liege Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Genk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Genk to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Standard Liege to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form shows both teams averaging over 3.4 corners per game for Genk and 7.0 for Standard Liege, with a combined tendency towards open play reflected in a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate. This attacking momentum supports a high corner count as both sides push forward and create shooting opportunities, often forcing defensive clearances leading to corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Genk Over 2.5
60%Standard Liege Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 1.8, indicating moderate scoring but a tempo that supports attacking transitions. The trend towards Over 2.5 goals in 60% of recent games suggests open play phases that typically generate corners through crosses and defensive clearances, reinforcing the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners in this match.

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