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Monacov
LilleLigue 1 | Sun 10 May, 20:00
Monaco v Lille Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 2.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +33.6-point value edge.
- Monaco have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Lille have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 100% and 20%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Monaco have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Lille have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
100%Monaco Over 2.5
40%Lille Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Monaco
WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 107W 2D 1L
02 May 2026A Metz2-1
25 Apr 2026A Toulouse2-2
19 Apr 2026H Auxerre2-2
10 Apr 2026A Paris FC1-4
05 Apr 2026H Marseille2-1
Lille
DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 107W 3D 0L
03 May 2026H Le Havre1-1
26 Apr 2026A Paris FC1-0
18 Apr 2026H Nice0-0
12 Apr 2026A Toulouse4-0
04 Apr 2026H Lens3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 37% · edge +25.7 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Monaco1.8
Avg goals scoredLille1.8
Monaco2
Avg goals concededLille0.2
Monaco100%
BTTS rateLille20%
Monaco100%
Over 2.5 goalsLille40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Monaco wins
4Draws
4Lille wins
24 Aug 2025Lille v Monaco1-0
22 Feb 2025Lille v Monaco2-1
18 Oct 2024Monaco v Lille0-0
24 Apr 2024Monaco v Lille1-0
29 Oct 2023Lille v Monaco2-0
14 May 2023Monaco v Lille0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Monaco6.6
Avg corners forLille5.4
Monaco10.8
Avg total cornersLille9.8
Monaco1.6
Avg yellow cardsLille2.2
Monaco12.8
Avg shotsLille13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.2 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
Ansu FatiMonaco · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.8
SOT /901.96
H. IgamaneLille · Attacker
Goal threat86/100
Shots /903.79
SOT /901.89
F. BalogunMonaco · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /901.34
Pape CabralMonaco · Midfielder
Goal threat40/100
Shots /903.7
SOT /902.47
S. DiaouneLille · Attacker
Goal threat62/100
Shots /903.56
SOT /901.78
Paris Josua BrunnerMonaco · Attacker
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900.8
SOT /900
M. CoulibalyMonaco · Midfielder
Goal threat28/100
Shots /900.54
SOT /900.27
VandersonMonaco · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.44
SOT /900
Season team stats
Ligue 1
Monaco32
PlayedLille32
Monaco1.8
Avg goals forLille1.6
Monaco1.5
Avg goals againstLille1.1
Monaco7
Clean sheetsLille12
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 37% · edge +25.7 pts
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lille | 58 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Monaco | 54 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
