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Renate crestRenate
v
Albinoleffe crestAlbinoleffe

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 25 Oct, 11:30

Renate v Albinoleffe Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C Girone A clash features Albinoleffe traveling to face Renate, with Albinoleffe positioned 10th and Renate struggling near the bottom at 20th. Albinoleffe's recent form shows more promise, having accumulated 8 points with a higher goals-per-game average and a strong attacking output. Renate's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals per match, while Albinoleffe's offense has been more potent, scoring 2.4 goals per game. The away side looks to capitalize on their momentum and superior form in this pivotal fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Albinoleffe to Win

  • Albinoleffe ranks 10th with 13 points; Renate is 20th with 4 points.
  • Albinoleffe averages 2.4 goals scored per game versus Renate's 1.0.
  • Renate concedes 1.6 goals per match; Albinoleffe concedes 2.0 but compensates with stronger attack.
  • Albinoleffe has a 100% BTTS rate recently, indicating open games.
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of Albinoleffe's recent matches, suggesting attacking openness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Albinoleffe to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking efficiency compared to Renate. Albinoleffe's high BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rates underline their offensive threat, while Renate's defensive struggles increase the likelihood of goals conceded. The at 3.0 offer positive value given the model's 70% win probability, making this a compelling selection based on both statistical trends and tactical context. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Odds Chance48.3% model chance vs 33.3% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge48.3% model chance vs 33.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormAlbinoleffe stronger with 8 points vs Renate's 2
Positive
Goals Scored per Game2.4 (Albinoleffe) vs 1.0 (Renate)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Albinoleffe's superior attacking form and recent points accumulation make them the tactical and statistical favorite to secure victory. Their ability to score consistently contrasts with Renate's defensive vulnerabilities, providing a strong foundation for backing the away win in this Serie C fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Albinoleffe's offensive consistency and Renate's defensive frailties set the stage for an away win. The attacking momentum and recent form data strongly favor Albinoleffe in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Albinoleffe to Win evidence

Albinoleffe ranks 10th with 13 points; Renate is 20th with 4 points.

Albinoleffe averages 2.4 goals scored per game versus Renate's 1.0.

Renate concedes 1.6 goals per match; Albinoleffe concedes 2.0 but compensates with stronger attack.

Albinoleffe has a 100% BTTS rate recently, indicating open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Albinoleffe to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings and recent matches, Over 2.5 goals have occurred in 80% of Albinoleffe's games and 60% of Renate's, with an average of 2.1 goals per match in their head-to-head.
  • This trend suggests a relatively high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Renate1
Avg goals scored
Albinoleffe2.4
Renate1.6
Avg goals conceded
Albinoleffe2
Renate80%
BTTS rate
Albinoleffe100%
Renate60%
Over 2.5 goals
Albinoleffe80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Albinoleffe's matches have featured a 100% BTTS rate and 80% Over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating open, high-scoring games. Renate also shows an 80% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS, suggesting both sides are prone to conceding and scoring, supporting expectations of goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAlbinoleffe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Albinoleffe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 48.3% for Albinoleffe to Win sits against roughly 33.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Albinoleffe have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Renate.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Renate

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
19 Oct 2026A Juventus U231-2
11 Oct 2026H Giana Erminio2-2
03 Oct 2026A Ospitaletto1-1
27 Sep 2026H Treviso0-1
20 Sep 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo1-2

Albinoleffe

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
18 Oct 2026H Novara2-2
10 Oct 2026A Lumezzane2-3
03 Oct 2026A Cittadella2-1
27 Sep 2026H Alcione1-1
20 Sep 2026A Juventus U235-3
Market aligned with main pickAlbinoleffe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Albinoleffe Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Albinoleffe's recent form is markedly stronger, with 8 points gained and a higher goals-per-match average compared to Renate's 2 points and lower scoring. This momentum advantage reflects better attacking efficiency and defensive resilience, positioning Albinoleffe as favorites to secure the win in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Renate Over 2.5
80%Albinoleffe Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings and recent matches, Over 2.5 goals have occurred in 80% of Albinoleffe's games and 60% of Renate's, with an average of 2.1 goals per match in their head-to-head. This trend suggests a relatively high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities likely in this fixture.

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