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Ekstraklasa | Sun 25 Oct, 11:15

Slask Wroclaw v Wieczysta Kraków Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Slask Wroclaw and Wieczysta Kraków meet in an Ekstraklasa clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Slask Wroclaw, struggling defensively with an average of 2.6 goals conceded per game, contrasts with Wieczysta Kraków's more balanced but still leaky backline. Both teams have shown a propensity for open play and goal-rich matches recently, with Slask Wroclaw featuring in 100% of their games going over 2.5 goals and Wieczysta Kraków in 80%. This fixture promises end-to-end action with both sides eager to capitalize on offensive opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Slask Wroclaw has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game this season, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Wieczysta Kraków averages 1.4 goals scored per match and participates in 80% of games over 2.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head clashes have produced an average of 4 goals per match, suggesting a high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams have strong shot volumes, with Wieczysta Kraków averaging 15 shots and Slask Wroclaw 8.4 per game.
  • Slask Wroclaw's recent matches all exceeded 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-laden game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against a 44.4% implied market probability, reflecting a 13.6% . Both teams' defensive records and offensive output support a high-scoring game, with Slask Wroclaw conceding heavily and Wieczysta Kraków maintaining strong attacking metrics. The recent form data, including Slask Wroclaw's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and the high average goals in their head-to-head matches, underpin the model's . No price warnings apply, allowing for a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Strong positive
Slask Wroclaw Defensive Record2.6 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Wieczysta Kraków Offensive Output1.4 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Slask Wroclaw's defensive struggles meet Wieczysta Kraków's potent offense. The high volume of shots and historical goal averages suggest multiple scoring chances, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling pick for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This match features two sides with attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities, creating the perfect conditions for a goal-fest. The statistical indicators strongly favor a high-scoring outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Slask Wroclaw has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game this season, indicating defensive frailty.

Wieczysta Kraków averages 1.4 goals scored per match and participates in 80% of games over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head clashes have produced an average of 4 goals per match, suggesting a high-scoring trend.

Both teams have strong shot volumes, with Wieczysta Kraków averaging 15 shots and Slask Wroclaw 8.4 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Analysis of the last two head-to-head meetings shows an average of 4 goals per game, reinforcing a trend of open, attacking matches between these teams.
  • This recent sample supports the Over 2.5 Goals trend, suggesting that the fixture regularly produces multiple goals through fast tempo and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Slask Wroclaw1.2
Avg goals scored
Wieczysta Kraków1.4
Slask Wroclaw2.6
Avg goals conceded
Wieczysta Kraków1.6
Slask Wroclaw100%
BTTS rate
Wieczysta Kraków60%
Slask Wroclaw100%
Over 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have shown a tendency for games with multiple goals and mixed BTTS outcomes. Slask Wroclaw's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and BTTS rate, combined with Wieczysta Kraków's 80% over 2.5 goals and 60% BTTS rate, suggest a match where goals are likely from both sides, driven by open play and defensive lapses.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Slask Wroclaw Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+13.6 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Slask Wroclaw and 80% for Wieczysta Kraków, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Slask Wroclaw

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
17 Oct 2026A Motor Lublin2-3
10 Oct 2026H Lech Poznan1-4
18 Sep 2026A Wisla Krakow1-2
12 Sep 2026H Korona Kielce1-2
06 Sep 2026A Jagiellonia1-2

Wieczysta Kraków

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
16 Oct 2026H Raków Częstochowa1-2
12 Oct 2026A GKS Katowice1-2
09 Oct 2026H Wisla Plock3-0
18 Sep 2026A Widzew Łódź2-2
13 Sep 2026A Pogon Szczecin0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Wieczysta Kraków Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Wieczysta Kraków to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Slask Wroclaw Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Slask Wroclaw to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Recent form data highlights Slask Wroclaw's involvement in matches exceeding 2.5 goals at a 100% rate, while Wieczysta Kraków's rate stands at 80%, indicating a consistent trend towards high-scoring games. Both teams have struggled defensively, which combined with their attacking efforts, supports the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Slask Wroclaw Over 2.5
80%Wieczysta Kraków Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last two head-to-head meetings shows an average of 4 goals per game, reinforcing a trend of open, attacking matches between these teams. This recent sample supports the Over 2.5 Goals trend, suggesting that the fixture regularly produces multiple goals through fast tempo and defensive gaps.

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